Wave of Bain Attacks appear to be backfiring: Romney Up in FL, tied in Colorado in latest polls. (democratic, Republicans)
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Latest polls from Purple Strategies show Romney +3 in Florida. After all of his pandering to Hispanics Onama is only up 1 in Colorado and Virginia he's up two. I guess one maybe bright spot for Obama is he's up 3 in Ohio, a must win for Romney.
Love those poll #'s from purple states. They are maybe the most biased polling firm toward republicans led by Alex Castellonos of Cnn. So if Romney isn't beating Obama with this help the fat lady is getting her encore act together.
Love those poll #'s from purple states. They are maybe the most biased polling firm toward republicans led by Alex Castellonos of Cnn. So if Romney isn't beating Obama with this help the fat lady is getting her encore act together.
The RCP average has Obama trending down in VA and FL and trending down by two points nationally.
Barely in Ohio but Michigan well not so much. PA will remain Dem so will Wisconsin most likely but we shall see. Walker showed a Republican can win in the state against a maniacal liberal onslaught.
Love those poll #'s from purple states. They are maybe the most biased polling firm toward republicans led by Alex Castellonos of Cnn. So if Romney isn't beating Obama with this help the fat lady is getting her encore act together.
They're basically tied in OH and MI.... Most importantly Obama's approval is lower than what is necessary for him to win those states according to most of the polls where respondents are asked whether they approve of how he is handling his job. His approval in PA even is lower than what it needs to be for him to win the state according to most polls. In WI, it depends on the poll.
That being said, you constantly say things like Romney can't win without OH, MI, and PA. Now you've added WI for some reason?!?!? This is absolutely not true. He absolutely can win without MI, PA, and WI. No Republican has won PA or MI in a presidential election since 1988 yet W won two elections. No Republican has won WI in a presidential election since 1984 yet W won two elections and his father won one. Furthermore, W won in 2000 using the electoral map done after the 1990 census and in 2004 using the map done after the 2000 census and his father won using the map done after the 1980 census. (Current) red states/reddish-purple states have been allocated more EV's following the 1990, 2000, and 2010 censuses.
The fact that Obama is below 50% in the average of the polls in WI and PA and below 50% and basically tied with Romney in the average of the polls in MI is far more of a red flag for Obama (he won WI by 14 points in 2008, MI by 17 points!, and PA by 10 points) than the fact that Obama may be slightly ahead (but basically tied) in MI and slightly ahead in WI and PA is a red flag for Romney. These are Democratic-leaning states - not swing states - where Obama should be well above 50% with an approval rating of well above 50%.
It is unlikely that Romney would win without OH, but there are no absolute "must win" states and whichever candidate gets to 270 wins (or in Romney's case 269 because the House breaks a tie), regardless of how they get there.
Last edited by afoigrokerkok; 07-16-2012 at 02:53 PM..
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