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Obama's trailed "any Republican" for quite a while. The problem for the GOP is, as soon as the pollster NAMES a Republican candidate, Obama beats him/her pretty handily (I think Romney is the most competative).
The article you linked goes on to say that, at this stage in Reagan's first term, with the economy in the tank, Mondale led the Gipper in the polls. And we all know how that turned out.
Bottom line, if the economy shows signs of improving, Obama will cruise to re-election. If it doesn't, he'll be in a tough race against a reasonably electable GOPer (*cough not Bachmann, Palin, Cain, Paul or Santorom cough*)
I can agree with this because as soon as Romney is most likely nominated, I am registering libertarian and voting a straight libertarian ticket.
This thread seems to pop up often and I feel like I've said this before, but w/e. In a high up race like a presidential election where candidates are very individualized and well-defined, polls against generic candidates are inherently misleading and reflect more the discontent with the current administration than the actual desire to change it. Notice that when you name a candidate, you attach that candidate to a set of beliefs that many people may, surprise, object to. Notice that all candidates become somewhat less popular as you get further down the line and they have to actually take stands, and the popularity of a president almost always declines from when they are elected to when they have to actually make policy decisions.
TL;DR I'll put stock in these polls when parties gain the ability to run "generic candidate" on a ballot.
Its way to early to be celebrating this outcome. However, I think it speaks significantly to the failures of this President. Had the President brought the "Hope and Change" that he promised, then he'd be sailing above the GOP with little concern for losing in 2012. That he's even considered for a one-term President, as indicated by this poll, speaks volumes of his lack of success as a President.
Its way to early to be celebrating this outcome. However, I think it speaks significantly to the failures of this President. Had the President brought the "Hope and Change" that he promised, then he'd be sailing above the GOP with little concern for losing in 2012. That he's even considered for a one-term President, as indicated by this poll, speaks volumes of his lack of success as a President.
Problems with the economy will persist or get worse, it's pretty much a certainty. That will weigh even greater on Obama's legacy. The perception is that the double dip will be Obama's fault as much as 2008 was Bush's fault.
Problems with the economy will persist or get worse, it's pretty much a certainty. That will weigh even greater on Obama's legacy. The perception is that the double dip will be Obama's fault as much as 2008 was Bush's fault.
Just the political recipe that the republicans have been cooking since Nov 4, 2008 (but none of them is grown up enough to acknowledge it).
Anyway, the subject of this thread deserves a bit of hilarity...
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Oops! Gallup has Republican candidate up 8% over Obama
