[Cambium]

Hi Everyone. Happy Thanksgiving to those who celebrate it. I Posted this on November 16th! It snowed in Armonk for 30 minutes then turned to sleet... It was sleeting in New canaan last I heard... This was a dead on forecast unfortunetly the cold air didnt settle in for us. Could have been accumulating. The flip flop was crazy.. Whats next?

Originally Posted by Cambium

...Models getting consistant with a storm brewing in the NorthEast around Thanksgiving most likely the Friday, Saturday or Sunday after.

This would be accumulating. The pattern has been a flip flop of cold warm cold warm, we're going to flip back to cold after 25th. If thats the case and this storm does develop, that will spell snow.

Here's the radar at this moment...watching the rain/snow line not receed all day in fact keep pushing East was crazy...So close..

[Lowerdeck]

http://i478.photobucket.com/albums/rr143/ironbutterfly229/map1125.jpg (broken link)


It got really disappointing within the last couple hours I see.

But I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of snow or mixed bag, especially above 500', overnight. Not much, but something. I laugh at all the people crazy (stupid) enough to go 3/4/5 am shopping overnight and having to deal with this potential mess.

[wavehunter007]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK CITY
409 PMEST THUR NOV 25 2010


Near term /until 6 am friday morning/...

Update on wintry precip...a band of light precip now extends
across the southern boroughs of nyc and into southern nassau
county. there are a few reports of sleet...but primarily rain is
falling. also getting reports of sleet mixing with rain across
bergen/essex/union county in nj. road conditions are good...and
radar trends estimate that precip intensity will not increase
much.

Dry and seasonably cool for sun with highs in the upper 40s...then
conditions sun night similar to sat night with mainly clear
skies...light winds and lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

High pres moves offshore on mon...and southerly winds behind the
high will push temps up a few degrees compared to sun...generally in
the upper 40s to lower 50s and sunny.

[7 Wishes]

OKX website is showing that some wet snow and sleet did fall at all 6 of it's locations today (Central Park, JFK, LGA, Islip, Newark and Bridgeport).

Here in southern Westchester did see a tiny bit of sleet in the 2:30-3:30 period, otherwise just rain.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

OKX website is showing that some wet snow and sleet did fall at all 6 of it's locations today (Central Park, JFK, LGA, Islip, Newark and Bridgeport).

Here in southern Westchester did see a tiny bit of sleet in the 2:30-3:30 period, otherwise just rain.

omg and thats NYC locations and bridgeport the capital of warmth from all the factory. I know it snowed above the I287 line and North of Wilton.

6 inches of snow doesnt phase me....but snow is snow and when it falls its nice to see. Whats next?

PNA still negative. December 5th our next chance to see frozen precip

[Cambium]

Yesterdays radar loop...look at that snow line push east. Cool stuff for November.

[wavehunter007]

The stubborn ridge off the lower East Coast so far this fall has kept cold air masses and wintery weather away for the most part. In fact, what we really have is a strong fall Bermuda High. Right on cue…Duke University just finished a new study that says the climate change may make the Bermuda High even stronger in the summer months and last longer in the winter months:

“By analyzing six decades of U.S. and European weather and climate data, the team found that the center of the "Bermuda High" intensified by 0.9 geopotential meters a decade on average from 1948 to 2007, according to the EurekAlert report. As the "Bermuda High" intensified, its area grew, bringing the high's western ridge closer to the U.S. by 1.22 degrees longitude per decade. The team ruled out possible natural causes such as the AMO, ENSO and PDO as causes for this change. This means hotter summers and more of a subtropical flow in winter along the East Coast from NYC southward.

"Our analysis strongly suggests that the changes in the NASH are mainly due to anthropogenic warming," said lead author Wenhong Li, assistant professor of earth and ocean sciences at Duke University's Nicholas School of the Environment.

Not good news for winter fans (lol).

[Cambium]

Posted on November 22nd.. Fun times are here.

Originally Posted by Cambium

Yeah..this flip flop is driving me nuts...its going to stay warm till mid december I think...(Upper 40s I m50s) but another chance at seeing snow Around the 5th

And its a nice surprise to finally see flakes in the forecast as opposed to a surprise in the air. They usually dont show nighttime weather event on the 10day so maybe a Sunday night fall?

Nov. 8 - Snow
Nov. 25(Thanksgiving) - Sleet

[wavehunter007]

According to the National Weather Service…no chance of any snow for the next 7 days (at least until December 5th)…

NWS New York, NY
Point Forecast: Middletown CT
41.55°N 72.66°W

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 45.

Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 27. Calm wind.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 51. .

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

Tuesday Night: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Wednesday: Rain likely. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Wednesday Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 40.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.



To date...seasonal snowfall at the three area NWS sites:

Hartford: T (trace)

Bridgeport: 0.4

NYC : T (trace)


So far Duluth, MN has had 27.8 inches of snow...lol

[Cambium]

5th looks to be rain...7th looks interesting...Check that out. Weather Channel has 10 day showing snow on the 7th..