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Old 04-05-2020, 05:00 PM
 
6,387 posts, read 13,197,548 times
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Even tho it’s just wishful thinking. I also feel end of April myself that we start to turn the corner.
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Old 04-05-2020, 06:52 PM
 
376 posts, read 313,341 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peconic117 View Post
So what do you expect to do? Stay locked inside hoping not to get the virus for 18 months while the economy completely collapses?

That’s his exact thinking plus not pay any of his obligations while collecting stimulus and unemployment checks from the government.
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Old 04-06-2020, 12:51 AM
 
11,024 posts, read 7,889,427 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by martinjsxx View Post
Fauci can’t be the one to decide when to reopen the economy. He wasn’t elected president and can only offer advice, and he was wrong before in January when he said the country was at low risk for the virus. People won’t put up with six months of this.
In January when Fauci made the comment it was less than a week after the first US case was diagnosed and over a week before the first death was reported. He wasn't wrong. There had been no reason to believe at that time that human to human transmission was possible among asymptomatic individuals. The guy is a scientist, they work on facts not feelings.

What would you prefer? That he was still saying that when the evidence later revealed there was a danger? Did he not say "right now" and the CDC and FEMA were examining the situation? Did he make the statement you claim and walk away? He's a doctor, not a clairvoyant.
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Old 04-06-2020, 04:43 AM
 
5,098 posts, read 3,993,688 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by martinjsxx
Fauci can’t be the one to decide when to reopen the economy. He wasn’t elected president and can only offer advice, and he was wrong before in January when he said the country was at low risk for the virus. People won’t put up with six months of this.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kokonutty View Post
In January when Fauci made the comment it was less than a week after the first US case was diagnosed and over a week before the first death was reported. He wasn't wrong. There had been no reason to believe at that time that human to human transmission was possible among asymptomatic individuals. The guy is a scientist, they work on facts not feelings.

What would you prefer? That he was still saying that when the evidence later revealed there was a danger? Did he not say "right now" and the CDC and FEMA were examining the situation? Did he make the statement you claim and walk away? He's a doctor, not a clairvoyant.
Dr Fauci has since admitted he was dead wrong regarding the threat of the virus to America and has explained he (and just about all other American public health experts) were wrong because they were faked out by false Chinese data/reports. Experts (and non-experts) can certainly be wrong. In this case, he puts the blame squarely on China.

Dr. Fauci has also explained that China's misinformation meant that we missed our best chance to avoid much of the ill effects of the virus. He has repeatedly said he would have recommended an even earlier and even more vigorous halt to China-related travel.

Well, we certainly missed that first and best chance to dodge the full effects of the virus and the rest, as they say, is history.
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Old 04-06-2020, 05:53 AM
 
3,249 posts, read 1,629,718 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by markjames68 View Post
Too bad (as of now) the model hasn’t been updated in 4 days. Kind of useless right now.
It looks like the model was updated last night.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/proje...iMEQON4HJwCAGg
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Old 04-06-2020, 06:10 AM
 
Location: western NY
6,565 posts, read 3,239,042 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peconic117 View Post
I think you are dead on

Nice pun...............
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Old 04-06-2020, 06:20 AM
 
14,394 posts, read 11,337,087 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ken_N View Post
It looks like the model was updated last night.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/proje...iMEQON4HJwCAGg
Thanks. Looks like NY is projected to peak in 2 days for resources and 3 days for deaths. And by May be on the downswing.

Assuming of course social distancing is still maintained through May.
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:04 AM
 
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/\/\ I read the model as the NY deaths downswing beginning after the peak (not May, but April 9) with the last Coronavirus deaths in NY May 1ish. Is that wrong?
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:19 AM
 
94,153 posts, read 125,007,476 times
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A related article...

COVID-19 OUTBREAK IN NEW YORK STATE SHOWS INITIAL SIGNS OF PEAKING, SLOWING: https://www.cnybj.com/covid-19-outbr...ns-of-peaking/
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:29 AM
 
3,249 posts, read 1,629,718 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Quick Commenter View Post
/\/\ I read the model as the NY deaths downswing beginning after the peak (not May, but April 9) with the last Coronavirus deaths in NY May 1ish. Is that wrong?
I see 10 per day at May 1st, looks like maybe May 9th to get a a prediction of 0 per day.
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