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Joe Bastardi was mentioning Tampa Bay and a possible significant storm surge. But not a beast like 1921.
Tampa has always been high risk for a significant storm surge due to population around a large shallow bay, but has been lucky overall with almost no major storms pushing high surge into the bay. It will happen one day though. Whether it'll be this storm or another, we shall see.
Tampa has always been high risk for a significant storm surge due to population around a large shallow bay, but has been lucky overall with almost no major storms pushing high surge into the bay. It will happen one day though. Whether it'll be this storm or another, we shall see.
Thankfully I am far enough inland to not worry about that. Our last place in St Pete was a zone A so we had to worry.
Tues 29Aug 8pEDT:
Atlantic:
-Area off Africa 60% chance develops as turns up and out.
-Models say wave behind this may head West.
-TD11 formed earlier in the central Atlantic, well ESE of Franklin / Bermuda. Expected to head North, stay far out at sea, possibly get a name for a brief time but gone by end of the week.
E Pac:
No activity.
Central Pac:
Area well S of Hawaii 10%, out to sea.
For only the 7th year on record, the Atlantic has 2 hurricanes with 105+ mph winds simultaneously during August (#Franklin and #Idalia). Other years are: 1886, 1893, 1950, 1969, 1998, and 1999.
For the outlook we have wave near Africa moving out to sea to the NW with high development chance. Then, another wave, not yet tracked by NHC currently over Africa, looks to head West with models currently favoring development will be our next system to watch.
-TD12 forms near Cabo Verde islands just off NW Africa. Heading up and out.
-Models still favor development of the next tropical wave as heads West.
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