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Got some good blow ups last nite thanks to a east flow and hope to get 6"+ with the TS headed my way. I needs lots of rain to make up for the driest year i have had so far. Once the storm goes a beam of me then the dew points are gonna be unreal high as always when you are in the fetch of a tropical system. Very dis figured storm and no time and or upper levels are not right for it to do anything freaky and blow up into a CAT5.
Brutally horrible weather yesterday in the Ohio Valley, very strong sun angle, few clouds, and horrid levels of humidity with high temperature of 88F. Hopefully greater rain chances and more clouds the rest of the week.
"Yep. Some portions of the far northern and far southern Central Valley will likely break their records for number of consecutive 100+ degree days by the time this coming event is over."
"All time record high at Fresno, CA is 115F. There are four inputs to #NBM that are at or above this for Sunday. GFS/ECMWF and their ensembles are 115-118F. #cawx https://t.co/SscXBF2La9"
Dangerous heat is expected in Yosemite National Park Friday, July 9th through Monday, July 12th. Maximum temperatures will likely be 108 degrees or higher in Yosemite Valley each afternoon Friday, July 9th through Monday, July 12th. Don’t underestimate this heat! #CAwx https://t.co/IBlRP8BKGG
Had a band come thru around 330pm with a 45mph gust. Dead still now. Storm is trying to wrap around and lightning on west the side of the center so it is trying to get stronger. This is just what the DOC ordered for me. I will love tonite as the core bad weather starts around 11pm thru around 4am. This is what i live for and would love this every month.
Not to strong to blow the house down but enough to make me happy. Water temps are super high around 90f so that is for sure helping the storm. If the upper levels were perfect and it was a little more to the west it could have blown up into a CAT5.
Nasty storms heading southeast into this area and marine layer won't help weaken it
Quote:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
345 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021
there is a pretty good signal in the CAMs for the
convection to maintain itself as it reaches the coast. It
appears that cold pool development along the leading edge of the
convection should help support the storms down to the coast.
The direction of movement is also a bit more favorable as well.
Marine inversion could be overturned with this environment and
allow for damaging wind gusts potential all the way to the
coast.
Damaging winds are the main threat with these storms although
it would not be surprising if one or two stronger cells produce
quarter sized hail. Flooding is not a major concern given the
overall movement of the thunderstorms, but minor urban flooding
cannot be ruled out
Edit: YES!! 3 thunders. 44mph wind gusts. And a downpour. Perfect. No Severe stuff. LOVE/HATE the coast
Last edited by Cambium; 07-06-2021 at 04:26 PM..
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