Spring Thread 2017: Northern Hemisphere (climate, hot, warm, record)
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"I fear a cooler wetter summer for the Midwest...." The CFSV2 is hinting at near average temperatures and near or slightly below average precipitation for your area ChicagoGeorge, meanwhile, another different outlook is looking rather soggy and cool for the month of June, but August is increasingly looking like it might just be a hotter than average month. All in all, I guess we really won't know how this summer will turn out until it's over.
Trust me. The Midwest will be wetter and very likely cooler than normal this summer.
Once again....3rd time..... That's an NWS forecast, not a model. lol
And the Ensembles were wrong about the last heat surge, it wasn't as intense. So the Ensembles are just as bad/good as the operationals. The Ensembles are there to confirm what we see with the Operationals but it doesn't mean they are more accurate. That's my opinion from what I been watching over the years
And FYI.. GFS picked up on it being hotter for Thursday now all forecasts have been going up and up since 2 days ago and ensembles finally coming around.
And who says we cant see things coming past 7 days???
That NWS forecast is based on a model of models and again anything past five days is useless. And Ensembles over the long haul are far more accurate past five days than operational. Believe what you want.
I'm just curious if you work at all during the day. You literally post all day long on this forum and by far post more than anyone.
There is no way in hell that Binghamton is sunnier than Valparaiso, you could count on an amputated hand the amount of sunny days we've had the past few weeks. The weather agency in the US fudges numbers like Bernie Madoff at a stock exchange
Yes every bit of climate data is fudged and all our averages fake. Grow up. You are just angry at your climate and you whine now constantly. Move somewhere else.
If you know what the sun numbers are based on then you realize they aren't fudged. They are just based on a different threshold.
I went and looked at Binghamton climate data averages from 1980 to present.
The avg mean temp for May is 56.7F for 1980-2016. Just looking at 2010 to 2016 the only May below average was 2016. Every single May from 2010 to 2015 was above average.
Using those same years, the month of May averages only 4 days with a high temp below 55F, and 17 days with a high temp 65F or above. 12 days average 70F or above.
Of course, keep in mind the avg high for Binghamton is 65F in May. What do you want every single day to be in the 70'sF when their avg high isn't even above 70F.
That NWS forecast is based on a model of models and again anything past five days is useless. And Ensembles over the long haul are far more accurate past five days than operational. Believe what you want.
I'm just curious if you work at all during the day. You literally post all day long on this forum and by far post more than anyone.
It's 81 F with a 68 F dew point here (10 PM observation) a warm and muggy night, which become common this time of year and are the norm until early/mid October.
I'm accepting that its getting hot already. Its been reaching 90 the past few days. I went swimming today for the first time this year. Water was cool but comfortable. Also, second day I used sunblock so far this year.
Upper 80s close to 90 degrees today. Let's see if Chicago ORD or MDW hit it. Skilling says ORD will.... but I think MDW might and ORD will be off by a degree. Let's see what happens
MDW might see two 70F lows this week...
Could be second 90 degree day for my nearest station
That NWS forecast is based on a model of models and again anything past five days is useless.
Huh?? All forecasts are based off models. I thought you knew that. Including the ones you post. lol
I already proved what I show past 5 days happens. It's all about knowing how to read the models. If you keep wanting exact details you will keep disappointing yourself.
Looks like Philly only had 2 max temps above normal this month. Wow. Lows of 40s, Highs of 70s. Doesn't look too stable. 7th & 13th max of 50s! Wow.
10 days in a row without being above normal for the day average. -2.6° below normal for the month. Lets see if this heat coming erases that
Winter weather advisories posted for west slopes of Washington/Oregon Cascades for up to a foot of snow.
All of my fruit trees started blooming last week, then froze last night. Might not be much of a crop this year.
I see why.......... See my next post.
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