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Tomorrow could be my first 90, NWS is saying 87 but they're usually conservative.
They have 78 at Islip. Gonna be interesting to see how high they get with the heat surge and flow off the water.
NWS discussion.. Well what do you know, Heat comes and Muggier air with a south flow. Can't we just get a dry heat in summer?. Lol
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
346 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015
HEIGHTS GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THU WITH NEAR ZONAL FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. A SW LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PUMP IN A WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIRMASS WITH HIGHS AT MOST LOCATIONS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 80S...WITH LOWER 90S IN THE NY/NJ METRO AREA. THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND AND PORTIONS OF COASTAL CT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER DUE TO THE FLOW OFF THE COOLER WATERS.
They have 78 at Islip. Gonna be interesting to see how high they get with the heat surge and flow off the water.
NWS discussion.. Well what do you know, Heat comes and Muggier air with a south flow. Can't we just get a dry heat in summer?. Lol
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
346 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015
HEIGHTS GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THU WITH NEAR ZONAL FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. A SW LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PUMP IN A WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIRMASS WITH HIGHS AT MOST LOCATIONS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 80S...WITH LOWER 90S IN THE NY/NJ METRO AREA. THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND AND PORTIONS OF COASTAL CT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER DUE TO THE FLOW OFF THE COOLER WATERS.
They bumped ISP to 85, but it's gonna be interesting. I usually do better than ISP with heat since I'm a little further from the ocean.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
926 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015
5-WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW RIDGING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK BEFORE WEAK
TROUGHING PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. MORE ZONAL FLOW LOOKS LIKELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM ALLOWING FOR MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO AFFECT THE REGION.
THURSDAY - FRIDAY...THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF A FORECASTED HEAT WAVE AS TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE LOW-90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE TRUE CORE OF THE HEAT STILL REMAINS TO OUR WEST-SOUTHWEST BUT
925MB TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE LOW 20C RANGE.
THIS IS
ALL HAPPENING WHILE A WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS PUSHING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY. THIS FEATURE, EVEN IN ITS WEAKENED
STATE, SHOULD BE ABLE TO TOUCH OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE BETTER CHANCES OCCURRING LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON. BY FRIDAY MORNING MOST OF THE SHOWERY ACTIVITY IS
OFFSHORE BUT WE BEGIN TO RELOAD ANY EXPELLED ENERGY/MOISTURE FOR
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER,
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION SOMETIME ON SATURDAY.
FRIDAY COULD BE THE MOST OPPRESSIVE DAY IN TERMS OF DEW POINTS AS THEY SHOULD BE
ABLE TO REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER-60S DURING THE PEAK
MIXING/AFTERNOON HOURS. STILL A BIT UNSURE IF WE HIT OUR HEAT INDEX NUMBERS TO RAISE ANY HEADLINES SO WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION
IN THE HWO.
SATURDAY...MORE POTENT COLD FRONT SLIDES IN FROM THE NORTH ON
SATURDAY PROVIDING OUR HIGHEST POPS OVER THE WEEKEND. AMPLE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN FORM DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
MJO strongest ever for the month of June in Phase 2
Analog looks like this
Should remain warm for much of June based on MJO
In the 80's for many and it's only 10AM. A little cooler in the south suburbs where we got hit by storms earlier. Temps should bounce back as skies have cleared
^^ Interesting how on your first graphic the Lakefront has the highest temperature.
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