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Highly unlikely for the Midwest. 2013-14 was epic cold and snowy, last winter, other than a mild December was pretty cold and snowy. Especially February. Bastardi thinks a very similar scenario will play out this winter. Let's see if he's right.
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The warm blob will create the same huge ridge over the PNW, with the jet stream down over the eastern US. The southern jet will come into S. Cali (El Nino) and go straight across and then up towards the Carolinas possibly bringing us the snowiest winter in years. After the snow passes each time we will get hit with a polar outbreak. It will be a horrible winter for me. Same old warm pattern in the PNW and western Europe. Until the warm blob goes away, none of this will change.
I can see that scenario play out on the East Coast. El Niño does tend to have an active Southern jet, and if it does phase in with some trough, storms can ride up the eastern sea board. I think I will have a see saw winter in terms of temps, but it will most likely be drier (though that was not the case with the 09/10' El Niño).
Front coming through. Sometimes you can see it with the dew points. Sometimes with the wind metars.
Here are the wind direction. My wind is 4mph from the West so its crossing over now. Drizzle with struggling distant thunder.
The beginning edge of the front is where the South winds and West winds meet. Temps/DPs wont reflect it until it fully pushed through. 70s behind it! Still 80s here. Max 88 today.
Wettest start to a Summer on Modern Record to date in Indianapolis, and also the Wettest first 3 weeks of July On modern record as well, one of the negative things about all of this excessive rainfall here is that they have found mosquitoes carrying The West Nile Virus; on the plus side of things everything is pretty much nice and green because of such a wet summer so far, also has been a very gloomy/cloudy summer in Indianapolis so far with just a handful of fully sunny summer days to date; though the forecast is calling for several fair weather days before more unwelcome rainfall or at least the chances of unneeded rainfall move in just in time for the weekend.
Wettest start to a Summer on Modern Record to date in Indianapolis, and also the Wettest first 3 weeks of July On modern record as well, one of the negative things about all of this excessive rainfall here is that they have found mosquitoes carrying The West Nile Virus; on the plus side of things everything is pretty much nice and green because of such a wet summer so far, also has been a very gloomy/cloudy summer in Indianapolis so far with just a handful of fully sunny summer days to date; though the forecast is calling for several fair weather days before more unwelcome rainfall or at least the chances of unneeded rainfall move in just in time for the weekend.
8.59 inches this month in Lexington, and naturally more than half of it occurred while I was gone on vacation. Now that I've returned, it's back to the usual garbage of below average temperatures and no chance of storms.
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