Spring 2015 thread (Northern Hemisphere) (tornadoes, icy, Melbourne, snow)
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Today looks like a regular march day with 11c and heavy rain, but Monday we should reach 23c (!) and it is definitely gonna feel balmy, although the lows should remain around 10c. Not for too long I guess, but I'm glad we reach our first 20c this spring.
You're the 2nd person to point out next week 50s to me. LOL I think that's too high and maybe 50s only for couple hours, but then again, it is 7 days away so its possible. I keep forgetting its going to be April and easier to hit 50s.
I also think it's time to stop looking at the GFS. God that's such a garbage model. Euro shows 50s Wednesday so WU probably weighing in on the Euro more. GFS shows 40s.
Euro even has 50s on Monday & Tuesday. LOL
I think once the snow has melted after the rain, sunny days will warm up more than models expect. The models are initialized for snow cover conditions.
Seems like the warm-cold boundary is always just to the south of us. Is it a recent thing? I think I remember it happening other times in early spring?
Some more about the departures from average-although it is out of topic- but well, someone has started with it. I add here the 2013th year as well like some ohter members did, well, I must say the station is now an ohter (Tartu) as my own data for 2013 is uncomplete.
In Celsius degrees again.
Like in 2014, 3 months were below average, with especially cold March and the rest were above average although in July the departure was less than 0.5c, so it was practically average.
Here were high temps across the Greater Chicago metro area yesterday
Seasonal temps tomorrow (normal high for March 18th is 48F)
Average highs will be close to average for the next several days, but the early next week, the temps will be below average
Unseasonable warmth for March 16? Normally they'd list record highs but I'm guessing that we have none because 2012 blew the top off all of it and we'll probably never match it in our lifetime...
Seems like the warm-cold boundary is always just to the south of us. Is it a recent thing? I think I remember it happening other times in early spring?
Nice memory! I remember reading that its hard for the warm fronts to push north in early spring. Between Canadian snow cover and the cold, the warmth doesn't have strength to push north or over all that cold north of us. I wish I remember some terminology from it.
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And here's this weekend.. NUTS for this time of year. Struggling past 30s again? I'll be walking outside thinking its January again. Departures 15-20 below normal for the highs.
540 thickness down to NC this time of yr is amazing. Farmers gotta be ready for some 30s overnight down there!
Nice memory! I remember reading that its hard for the warm fronts to push north in early spring. Between Canadian snow cover and the cold, the warmth doesn't have strength to push north or over all that cold north of us. I wish I remember some terminology from it.
Ah. So it's not just me. Seems like it's easier in the Midwest at similar latitudes. Great Lakes ice, lots of snow in Canada and for a while, northern New England should slow down any warm up. But I think a strong ridge with the airflow coming directly from the south won't be weakened by much.
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And here's this weekend.. NUTS for this time of year. Struggling past 30s again? I'll be walking outside thinking its January again. Departures 15-20 below normal for the highs.
It'll only last one, maybe two days. I would focus on them less, though I know you like cold more. But perhaps since this setup has happened so many times it no longer seems that interesting to me. Just the normal once a week polar vortex, not much to see here... More interesting is not having that happen. NWS shows 40°F as a high for Saturday. If they're right, it shows how these cold outbreaks are losing their strength.
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