Summer 2014 - Northern Hemisphere (Rhode Island, cancel, hot, warm) - Weather -Temperature, sun, sunlight, rain, hurricanes, tornadoes, climate, forecasts, humidity, heat, snow... - Page 53 - City-Data Forum

Cambium · 06-12-2014, 12:24 PM

Lets talk short term and the warm up.

NWS NY basically saying trough with seasonable temps passing over us Saturday and a Ridge from the Plains builds in. That will give us warm temps and a westerly flow. (warm mountain downslope will be in effect).

There's going to be a disturbance in the Pacific which they think will stay over the top of the ridge which means north of NYC area which means conditions stay warm and muggy and the front wont affect us like maybe Vermont does

The ridge "axis" stays to our west mid week which continues the warm muggy flow for us here.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
212 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2014

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

AN UPPER TROF PASSES TO THE EAST AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS A
BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDS EAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MS
VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY MILD CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION WITH A
DEEP-LAYERED WESTERLY FLOW. TEMPS WILL START OFF NEAR OR JUST ABOVE
SEASONABLE LEVELS AND THEN GRADUALLY MODERATE DURING THE PERIOD WITH
MOST LOCATIONS GETTING UP INTO THE LOWER AND MID 80S EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.

EARLY NEXT WEEK...PAC SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
LIFTS UP OVER THE RIDGE SENDING A WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM INTO THE
AREA TUE AND WED. THERE LOOKS TO BE LITTLE PUSH SOUTHWARD AND THE
FRONT MAY VERY WELL STAY NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE AREA RESULTING
IN WARM MUGGY CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE OF SCATTERED CONVECTION.

GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MASS FIELDS
DURING THE MUCH OF THE PERIOD...BUT THEN DIVERGE LATE AS THE ECMWF
BRINGS IN A STRONG CLOSED LOW INTO THE PAC NW. THIS IN TURN
MAINTAINS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO OUR WEST...WHILE THE GFS IS TO THE
EAST. THIS RESULTS IN LOCATION DIFFERENCES WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

Cambium · 06-12-2014, 01:43 PM

Only in the 60s AGAIN today so far. How is anything supposed to grow? 4 days in a row with clouds and temps below 70F.

Bridgeport Max/Min this month so far.

nei · 06-12-2014, 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cambium

Only in the 60s AGAIN today so far. How is anything supposed to grow? 4 days in a row with clouds and temps below 70F.

Bridgeport Max/Min this month so far.

I need to check how many days had sun so far this month. Looks like sky cover-wise we had a bunch of clear days at the beginning of the month and this weekend.

Texasguy14 · 06-12-2014, 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cambium

Only in the 60s AGAIN today so far. How is anything supposed to grow? 4 days in a row with clouds and temps below 70F.

Bridgeport Max/Min this month so far.

Uh oh i see a mistake here. Surely you meant to say 4 days TOTAL below 70 degrees. Not in a row. And please note that 2 of the 4 days were 69 degrees (1 degree below 70).

Dont worry though Cambium, you have a warm up coming! High 70s low 80s and sunny this weekend for you....better get your swim trunks ready! Then some 80s next week with sun before some rain comes in. Dont worry though, you shouldn't go back down to highs in the 60s for a couple of months. Your summer warmth is finally starting to arrive. Nothing but 70s. 80s, and maybe even some 90s

are in store for your future.

Just think Cambium, you will finally be able to get that perfect summer tan.

Cambium · 06-12-2014, 02:51 PM

Low temps Sunday morning... Euro Left. GFS Right.

Aside from the fact that the GFS is colder than the Euro for Sunday morning...... This could be the last 40s we see in the NorthEast for while... maybe months??

GFS showing 30s in higher elevation of NY, PA, WV. Kind of nice to see since GFS isn't High Res as Euro. Maybe the updates fixed that but the cold bias remains....maybe.

Qilin34 · 06-12-2014, 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cambium

Low temps Sunday morning... Euro Left. GFS Right.

Aside from the fact that the GFS is colder than the Euro for Sunday morning...... This could be the last 40s we see in the NorthEast for while... maybe months??

GFS showing 30s in higher elevation of NY, PA, WV. Kind of nice to see since GFS isn't High Res as Euro. Maybe the updates fixed that but the cold bias remains....maybe.

Looking forward to finally being able to open the windows at night; past few days a relentless onslaught of 65F+ DP's.

chicagogeorge · 06-12-2014, 04:42 PM

Hit 82F/28C at Chicago MDW today under mixed sun and clouds

tom77falcons · 06-12-2014, 05:16 PM

Yesterday at 6:00pm I met friends for dinner. Way too cool to sit outside. The temp was 67F and the dewpoint was 60F. The place even moved the tables inside as no one wanted to sit outside.

Today, totally different. At 6:00pm temp was 75F with 67 dewpoint and feels much warmer.

I could never live in a place that had a summer avg high temp in the upper 60'sF. Not summer to me.

And as Cambium noted, I can't imagine they can get anything to grow beyond a snails pace. My plants haven't budged the last few days. A couple days in the 80's and you can see the change.

Cambium · 06-12-2014, 08:30 PM

Role reversal with the max temps. GFS is hotter than the Euro. In fact Euro doesn't seem impressive for this area. GFS says 90s for northern CT, Euro says Low 80s. Glad I'm not a forecaster but if I had to guess I'll say low 80s for CT coast, 88-91 for northern half.

Reel feel of 1000° (dewpoints in mid-upper 60s)

Latest GFS max temps Wednesday afternoon-evening

chicagogeorge · 06-12-2014, 08:49 PM

Nice afternoon today... 26C/79F at ORD, 82F/28C at MDW... Cool front came through around 7PM

Latest CFSv2 for Europe