Which location is more likely to get a freak 6 inch snow accumulation? Orlando vs. Downtown San Jose?

[the topper]

Originally Posted by AdriannaSmiling

Snow is very rare in both locations but both downtown San Jose and Orlando have recorded very light accumulations (trace up to an inch or so) a few times in recorded history. Neither has recorded anything close to six inches though.

Which location is more likely to get a freak 6 inch snow accumulation event?


A) Downtown San Jose- cooler winter averages but a lower standard deviation than Orlando with a winter "rainy season" (semi-arid climate so even the rainy season isn't all that rainy although there are much wetter microclimates nearby). Unlike the Southeastern U.S., the Pacific Ocean moderates San Jose's climate to keep it from getting hard freezes most years. Averages 3-5 subfreezing nights a year but it's almost always on clear nights after the cold front has passed.

San Jose, California - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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B) Orlando- warmer winter averages but far more standard deviation than San Jose due to a continental influence. Winter is their "drier" season but Orlando does rain a few times a month during their dry season. Also averages 3-5 subfreezing nights a year but it's also almost always on clear nights after the cold front has passed. However, the climate is a lot less stable than San Jose with a lot more "weather" action in general.

Orlando, Florida - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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C) Although both locations can get light snow accumulations under freak circumstances, 6 inches would be IMPOSSIBLE in either location.

Normally, San Jose doesn't go below freezing. In the last 10 years, it has. In the 90's, there were very few 32 or lower. When it's cold, it's dry. In Orlando, when it's cold, it could be moist due to cold winds looping east from the ocean or just straight down north winds. It's been snowing at least 5 times in Orlando in the last 40 years. In San Jose, none.