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One of the things we will have to worry about in the next 15 years is technological unemployment. No one wants to discuss it because no one has the answer. I saw this today so I thought I would post it here.
This is from AE Ideas:
Now even the big banks are talking about technological unemployment
You can be an optimist about the long-term direction of technological innovation and still have legit concerns about workers. Once the province of neo-Luddites, the idea of technological unemployment and a potential sharp divergence between the tech savvy and everyone else has gone mainstream among economists, as seen in such books as “Average is Over” and “The Second Machine Age.”
Here is the latest article I read on the new 3D self organizing molecular circuits that will keep Moore's law going.
This is from IEEE Spectrum:
Last April, two separate research projects reported building transistors made entirely from two-dimensional (2-D) materials. Researchers at Argonne National Laboratory described in the journal Nano Letters that they had produced a transparent thin-film transistor (TFT) made from tungsten diselenide (WSe2) as the semiconducting layer, graphene for the electrodes and hexagonal boron nitride as the insulator.
Then, one week later, the journal ACS Nano published work from researchers at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory who had also built an all 2-D transistor that took the shape of a field emission transistor (FET). The Berkeley Lab FET had the same materials for its electrode and insulator layers as Argonne's TFT, but used molybdenum disulfide (MoS2) as the semiconducting layer.
Another great example as to why I am not worried about what will happen when the current paradigm, the integrated circuit, comes to a end sometime in the 2020's. To set it up the next paradigm will be 3D self organizing molecular circuits. People have asked how I know if it will be ready in time and to post my information. Well I have been posting it on the 3D circuit well now I have one on the self assembly part. As I have read and posted this will occur between 2015 and 2020 and as it gets closer you see more and more articles on it.
This is from PHYS.ORG:
The days of self-assembling nanoparticles taking hours to form a film over a microscopic-sized wafer are over. Researchers with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)'s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory have devised a technique whereby self-assembling nanoparticle arrays can form a highly ordered thin film over macroscopic distances in one minute.
Your life is going to change faster than ever before
This is a interesting look as to what is coming in the next 15-20 years.
In his landmark book The Singularity is Near, Ray Kurzweil explains how information-based technologies progress at an exponential rate. For example, in 1972, the microprocessor of a personal computer could only perform 100,000 instructions per second (0.1 MIPS). In 1978 it was one million instructions per second (1 MIPS). In 1993, the Intel Pentium reached a speed of 100 MIPS. By 2002, a processing speed of 10,000 MIPS had become common. In the 30 years from 1972 to 2002 the speed of PC's increased 100,000 times. This trend is accelerating over time in a hyperbolic fashion, known as exponential growth.
Passing the Turing test does mean the system that beat it can perform all the functions a Human brain does.
The Turing test is based on a question and answer game, proposed by British mathematician and codebreaker Alan Turing, to distinguish humans from computers.
The above is a long long way from what a Human brain does...
Let us know when a computer smells something and that smell brings back <it's> childhood memories...
Let us know when the computer sees something and <it> suddenly develops hunger pangs...
Let us know when a computer can smell sounds, see smells and hear colors...
Passing the Turing test does mean the system that beat it can perform all the functions a Human brain does.
The Turing test is based on a question and answer game, proposed by British mathematician and codebreaker Alan Turing, to distinguish humans from computers.
The above is a long long way from what a Human brain does...
Let us know when a computer smells something and that smell brings back <it's> childhood memories...
Let us know when the computer sees something and <it> suddenly develops hunger pangs...
Let us know when a computer can smell sounds, see smells and hear colors...
Computers will let you know all that by 2029.
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Your life is going to change faster than ever before
