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There are still some posters who believe Russia has a 900,000 man army and has only to call its reserves to turn the tide of the war. They are wrong.
* Corrupt practices from top to bottom resulted in funding being available for 900,000 men, but they never actually existed. The money was skimmed off and sent home with senior officers and recruiters.
* Russia has not been able to produce enough dismounted troops to hold territory.
* Tanks that required a crew of 5, actually only had 3.
* The famous line of stalled vehicles advertised the problems from the beginning. Fuel had been sold on the black market and was not available.
* Reactive armor that was supposed to protect tanks and crews did not, in fact, exist. Corruption resulted in unprotected crews.
And even if Russia had a 900,000 man army, they would not be able to pull all troops from every corner of their huge country and use them in Ukraine. Ukraine, on the other hand, is certainly able to use its entire army for self defense.
Here is the latest interview with Michael Kofman who is very sober in his analysis....great listen
Quote:
On a foggy morning in August 1918, Allied forces commenced the Battle of Amiens and the ‘Hundred Days Offensive’ that ended the Great War. A German general later called it “the black day of the German Army.” The Russian military has had a black week ever since Ukraine launched a counter-offensive in the Kharkiv Oblast.
Whether this heralds the last phase of this war is still unknown. Regardless, recent events have been a massive setback for Russia. We had Mike Kofman on the show to discuss.
The issue is that only 200-300k are fighting units. The rest are various logistics units.
That’s the point that keeps being ignored.
When they put 200,000+ troops into Ukraine in the beginning, this was like 70% of all of the boots on the ground they could muster across the whole country.
Putin politely asked the prisoners, drunks and drug addicts if they wanted to go fight in the 'special military operation'...upon which they replied......"what r ya nuts?"...
It maybe a good to idea to familiarize yourself with this formative study on Russia's view on nuclear weapons....just sayin. Let's just say it would not be a wise move for Russia.
Quote:
Some in the Russian military-analytical community still advocate for nuclear use at significantly earlier points in a conflict’s escalation, but the consensus across the journals suggests that this remains a losing position in Russian military thinking. Despite the emphasis on the role of nuclear weapons in escalation management, preventive nuclear threats are judged to not be credible in early periods of conflict. Most analysts argue for a means of nonnuclear deterrence that will complement nuclear-based strategies, while equally benefiting from the coercive effect that large nuclear arsenals contribute to calibrated forms of escalation. However the role for nonnuclear deterrence remains a complementary one to that of nuclear weapons, at conflicts of lesser scale such as local wars, or in earlier phases of a regional war. While some debates have clearly been settled, Russian thinking on escalation management and war termination continues to evolve, pricing in new capabilities, integrating added flexibility to the deterrence force structure, and responding to developments in the United States.
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