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thats my spin and i dont see a slow down for stocks until maybe the 2nd half of 2011. but until then i think we can see a melt up.
either way im not putting much more into equities then my plans call for. my guess can always be wrong so i never model my investing around what i think may happen. there is stuff not even on the radar that can alter things.
shots in korea can send markets reeling and a flight to safety can send the long term treasuries soaring an easy 30% like we saw in 2008 .
See, after several months of bogus job reports, the true numbers are out and they are at a six month high.
The excuse is "admin backlogs"
I think with the state debts mounting, there will be a bond bubble and investors are going to flee back to stocks. Good call, mathjak, that's why I asked if state debts could trigger this, as I saw a trend all of last year, when stocks tumbled and investors fled to bonds time and again.
2011 is the year of the great debt crisis, I read that somewhere by some economist, and I think he made the right call.
So, indeed, we should have the reverse process from last year where investors will flee away from bonds back to stocks and this could lead to a stock bubble that will wait to burst sometime. Vicious cycle. The truth is, nobody has a fix to the ongoing crisis and the Fed and the Europeans are just manipulating and simply avoiding the inevitable by prolonging it.
Are you kidding? Really? The markets are so rigged by Big Ben, GS and others, it will go down only when they want. People with great analysis and great methods have been getting killed for over a year looking for the "truth". Keep betting on the downside, it will happen one day. Maybe this is it!
Markets probably heading for a breather. The action and timing are very conducive for a pullback on profit taking. All this early morning buying followed by afternoon lighter selling seems very likely to be retail buyers coming in and mutual funds buying for retail investors. Then the pros lighten up their holdings a bit later on. Lack of volatility though cannot be a good sign either, it usually portends a big move coming and seems the odds are more on the side of a correction than another rally. Unless we see some unusually huge job growth numbers I don't see what could get investors that excited for a spike upwards.
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