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hmmmm what could spurr a big rise? how about the fact that billions if not trillions flowed into bonds which are getting hammered. forget about what you think,if that money moves even partially for the exits it will cause markets to soar. as long as there is no fear of risk at least for the short time there may be a divergence from reality and the markets move upward as world wide money finds its way into equities. .
Are you kidding? Really? The markets are so rigged by Big Ben, GS and others, it will go down only when they want. People with great analysis and great methods have been getting killed for over a year looking for the "truth". Keep betting on the downside, it will happen one day. Maybe this is it!
It can't be manipulated forever. At some point, it is going to spill over and that is the day of the crash.
think about this: from 2009 until the end of november almost 2/3 of a trillion dollars flowed into bonds. thats more money then flowed into stocks at the height of the dot coms in the most rediculious run up in history. it may take nasdaq 10-15 years to even reach that crazy level again.
starting last month more money started flowing into stocks again then bonds and the trend line shifted . thats an awful lot of money to flow into equities if even some of that money moves from bonds..
Last edited by mathjak107; 01-13-2011 at 05:23 PM..
well i wouldnt exactly call it a prediction , more of i wouldnt be a bit surprised if it panned out. alot of gains already happened. dont look at the indexes though . typical gains of stocks are up over 169% off the lows now. the indexes can be way off at times from actual gains. why i say that is as an example apple and google make up 29% of nasdaqs' average on QQQQ which is the proxy etf for nasdaq . ... if anything happened to either one the index would plummet. but if you didnt own those or your fund didnt own much you would be way ahead. lehamann was responsible for a huge dive in many indexes that are tracked.l the indexes appeared to be down alot more then things may have been depending what you owned.
Last edited by mathjak107; 01-15-2011 at 11:35 AM..
I look for 1285 to 1315 on the SP 500 to be the turning point.
It may or may not drop rapidly, but looking for a minimum of 100-120 points down on the 1rst leg.
We actually hit the 1285 mark today so be aware from here till we rollover.
Time to Duck and Cover..
Silverfox
Good for you. The truth is, no one knows.
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