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Good point... that is, looking at 2008 and 2010 makes it clear how assuming that this election will be a replay of last election is so mind-numbingly ignorant.
Obama has less support than he did in '08,
Romney has greater support than McCain did in '08.
Do the math.
.
If you do polling models based on the 2010 election, the 2004 election, the 2000 election and the 1994 election, all excellent republican turn out years.......
If you do polling models based on the 2010 election, the 2004 election, the 2000 election and the 1994 election, all excellent republican turn out years.......
Obama still wins.
well its a good thing that elections aren't decided by polls. In the US, we actually count all the votes. (even hanging chads)
well its a good thing that elections aren't decided by polls. In the US, we actually count all the votes. (even hanging chads)
All "speculation" before the election day is based on polls.
If you don't want to listen to any of the polls, then don't speculate on how the election will turn out at all. The only way to speculate is to poll people, and all of the polling models show an Obama victory is almost certain.
Doesn't mean Romney won't win, polls have been wrong before, but usually not very wrong, and usually not in the numbers that will be proven wrong on Tuesday if Romney wins.
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