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Old 11-03-2012, 09:59 AM
 
2,548 posts, read 2,174,238 times
Reputation: 729

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Quote:
Originally Posted by crbcrbrgv View Post
It doesn't matter because the red states such as Texas are going to skew the popular vote.

You are doing the wrong math.
Some people don't know what the electoral college is.

 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:01 AM
 
Location: La lune et les étoiles
18,247 posts, read 22,651,177 times
Reputation: 19593
Wow, some of you really are swimmming in a sea of delusion.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:55 AM
 
3,378 posts, read 3,724,330 times
Reputation: 710
Quote:
Originally Posted by crbcrbrgv View Post
It doesn't matter because the red states such as Texas are going to skew the popular vote.

You are doing the wrong math.

Look at the 2010 mid-terms and recalculate.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 11:00 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,968,496 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by Guamanians View Post
Look at the 2010 mid-terms and recalculate.
Good point... that is, looking at 2008 and 2010 makes it clear how assuming that this election will be a replay of last election is so mind-numbingly ignorant.

 
Old 11-03-2012, 11:03 AM
 
Location: Sango, TN
24,813 posts, read 24,523,601 times
Reputation: 8674
Quote:
Originally Posted by bluesjuke View Post
Obama has less support than he did in '08,
Romney has greater support than McCain did in '08.

Do the math.


.

If you do polling models based on the 2010 election, the 2004 election, the 2000 election and the 1994 election, all excellent republican turn out years.......

Obama still wins.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 11:50 AM
 
3,378 posts, read 3,724,330 times
Reputation: 710
Quote:
Originally Posted by Memphis1979 View Post
If you do polling models based on the 2010 election, the 2004 election, the 2000 election and the 1994 election, all excellent republican turn out years.......

Obama still wins.
well its a good thing that elections aren't decided by polls. In the US, we actually count all the votes. (even hanging chads)
 
Old 11-03-2012, 01:42 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles, California
4,373 posts, read 3,246,390 times
Reputation: 1041
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
I bet you love this, too!

Friday Swing State Poll Analytics

Romney is the 2012 John McCain. Every poll is calling this for Obama except Rasmussen. Romney can still win this, but it all depends on turnout.

Don't be surprised *if* Willard gives a concession speech.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 01:44 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,968,496 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by Guamanians View Post
well its a good thing that elections aren't decided by polls. In the US, we actually count all the votes. (even hanging chads)
But, for anyone with even a cursory familiarity with American Presidential electoral history, ballots do strongly correlate with polls.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 01:48 PM
 
Location: Sango, TN
24,813 posts, read 24,523,601 times
Reputation: 8674
Quote:
Originally Posted by Guamanians View Post
well its a good thing that elections aren't decided by polls. In the US, we actually count all the votes. (even hanging chads)

All "speculation" before the election day is based on polls.

If you don't want to listen to any of the polls, then don't speculate on how the election will turn out at all. The only way to speculate is to poll people, and all of the polling models show an Obama victory is almost certain.

Doesn't mean Romney won't win, polls have been wrong before, but usually not very wrong, and usually not in the numbers that will be proven wrong on Tuesday if Romney wins.

The odds aren't in Romneys favor, sorry.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 07:58 PM
 
Location: In an indoor space
7,685 posts, read 6,252,859 times
Reputation: 5159
Here's an interesting video though some months old with interesting views but I question his bias.


Why Obama Will Lose In A Landslide - YouTube
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