Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Might I remind you that Romney still hasn't selected a running mate and we're still weeks away from the convention.
Plus Reagan was trailing Carter up until the week before election day. And we all now how that turned out...
Exactly and I highly doubt those polls were any more accurate than the ones being cooked up now. They have to try and make this look like a horse race to keep the interest high. It's such a shame that elections have become not much more than a sensationalized ratings game.
Yup. My point exactly. And Obama will not allow himself to be swift boated. The Republicans aren't used to a Democrat who fights back aggressively, but their easy skates to the White House are over.
Are you kidding? You don't think Democrats 'fight back aggressively'? While I will admit that Obama's Chicago style low is much lower than even in the past, Democrats have always been dirty. Sometimes, being lowdown turns voters off, especially Indpendents where this election will be decided.
All polls are just snapshots of a moment in time. But when they are accumulated, they show trends. This does not mean that the trends will be accurate reflections of the election, but polling is still the most accurate assessment of that moment.
This is why the polling after the conventions increases in frequency. With each passing day before the election, knowing what the longest lasting tends are, when properly weighted, often indicate the winner within a very few points.
Upsets are the exception, not the rule. Most trend-busting upsets arise from some late dramatic occurrence that comes out of nowhere.
All polls are just snapshots of a moment in time. But when they are accumulated, they show trends. This does not mean that the trends will be accurate reflections of the election, but polling is still the most accurate assessment of that moment.
This is why the polling after the conventions increases in frequency. With each passing day before the election, knowing what the longest lasting tends are, when properly weighted, often indicate the winner within a very few points.
Upsets are the exception, not the rule. Most trend-busting upsets arise from some late dramatic occurrence that comes out of nowhere.
Polling is only as reliable as the method and the pollster. I do agree that polls can give some indication of the way things are trending, but I have seen so many elections in the past few years where the polling was very inaccurate. The polling during the Republican primaries, for example, was often times very wrong. Look at the polling coming out of WI right before the recall vote...it was dead wrong. You can't put too much faith in it.
Look at the polling coming out of WI right before the recall vote...it was dead wrong.
No, it wasn't. Most polls showed Walker up 5 points or more before the vote.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
