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With fewer than nine months to go before Election Day,*The Signal*predicts that Barack Obama will win the presidential contest with 303 electoral votes to the Republican nominee's 235.
How do we know? We don't, of course. Campaigns and candidates evolve, and elections are dynamic events with more variables than can reasonably be distilled in an equation. But the data--based on a prediction engine created by Yahoo! scientists--suggest a second term is likely for the current president. This model does not use polls or prediction markets to directly gauge what voters are thinking. Instead, it*forecasts the results of the Electoral College based on past elections, economic indicators, measures of state ideology, presidential approval ratings, incumbency, and a few other politically agnostic factors.
^ Have you looked at the yahoos the GOP is propping about?
Obama will lose in 2012. Here's why. The GOP will be forced into a brokered convention. Enter Sarah Palin who has been hammering Obama on the issues lately and who gave a riveting speech the other night that woke everyone up. She enters the convention and is drafted as the nominee because Santorum and Romney can't pull the numbers she can. Palin can motivate the base is a huge way. This is the plan. This is why Palin hasn't endorsed anyone. This is why she stated in September that we would witness a very unpredictable campaign for 2012.
Obama will lose in 2012. Here's why. The GOP will be forced into a brokered convention. Enter Sarah Palin who has been hammering Obama on the issues lately and who gave a riveting speech the other night that woke everyone up. She enters the convention and is drafted as the nominee because Santorum and Romney can't pull the numbers she can. Palin can motivate the base is a huge way. This is the plan. This is why Palin hasn't endorsed anyone. This is why she stated in September that we would witness a very unpredictable campaign for 2012.
Unfortunately for the republicans and right wing conservatives everywhere, they are fighting for the very identity of their party and what it stands for. It's a major transition period for them. Obama will win without breaking a sweat.
Unfortunately for the republicans and right wing conservatives everywhere, they are fighting for the very identity of their party and what it stands for. It's a major transition period for the party. Obama will win without breaking a sweat.
Nothing surprises me about politics. However the sheep are still grazing, a bit too much, anything is possible.
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