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Old 02-06-2017, 01:58 PM
 
712 posts, read 529,850 times
Reputation: 725

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
New NAM18z model says school delays maybe closures Thursday morning Southern NY into southern New england. 6-12" across the region. Wtf. I dont buy that. The speed of the storm says thats impossible. UNLESS ratios will be high.

Then only 1/2" liquid falling would mean 8-10"
Isn't the nam a short range model? Isn't It's accuracy questionable at best this far out?

 
Old 02-06-2017, 02:03 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeyondtheHorizon View Post
Isn't the nam a short range model? Isn't It's accuracy questionable at best this far out?
Yup. And the usual bias of it is that its too moist so totals are always inflated with it.

But it looks like we'll be busy measuring Thursday even if its under 6".

Ugh. Im so done with this. I want sun and spring.

https://twitter.com/LensReality/stat...08546380496897
 
Old 02-06-2017, 02:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
The " potential" image in that tweet is off.

Here's the update. Wtf.

Winter Weather Graphics Southern CT
Winter Weather Graphics northern CT
Litchfield graphics



Most likely this though

 
Old 02-06-2017, 02:42 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Dont forget tomorrow morning! Heads up

https://twitter.com/WeatherCT/status/828719370918572036
 
Old 02-06-2017, 06:53 PM
 
2,941 posts, read 1,783,175 times
Reputation: 2274
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
The " potential" image in that tweet is off.

Here's the update. Wtf.

Winter Weather Graphics Southern CT
Winter Weather Graphics northern CT
Litchfield graphics



Most likely this though


Where's the praying emoji??? Need a darn snow day!!
 
Old 02-06-2017, 07:52 PM
 
712 posts, read 529,850 times
Reputation: 725
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMagliola View Post
Where's the praying emoji??? Need a darn snow day!!
Bring on the snow. We need a real snowstorm.
 
Old 02-07-2017, 07:09 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,294 posts, read 18,872,835 times
Reputation: 5126
This is from OKX, their discussion:

An overall snowfall of at least 4-6 inches appears likely, with
the highest amounts over central/eastern Long Island and
southern CT. Position of heaviest snow bands remains in
question, and could well shift north of here. The probabilistic
snowfall forecast will reflect this as well as potential for
amounts of 6-8 inches in the higher percentile categories, not
to be taken lightly since snowfall totals have pushed the 90th
percentile with almost every winter weather event this season.
 
Old 02-07-2017, 07:46 AM
 
Location: South Central CT
223 posts, read 172,239 times
Reputation: 127
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
This is from OKX, their discussion:

An overall snowfall of at least 4-6 inches appears likely, with
the highest amounts over central/eastern Long Island and
southern CT. Position of heaviest snow bands remains in
question, and could well shift north of here. The probabilistic
snowfall forecast will reflect this as well as potential for
amounts of 6-8 inches in the higher percentile categories, not
to be taken lightly since snowfall totals have pushed the 90th
percentile with almost every winter weather event this season.
they make a good point-maybe it's our first run at a double digit snowfall...maybe...big maybe...
 
Old 02-07-2017, 07:54 AM
 
9,909 posts, read 7,689,224 times
Reputation: 2494
This coming Sunday looks to be a mess. Too far out to tell probably. Snow showers, snow, freezing rain, and rain with Temps reaching as high as 38.
 
Old 02-07-2017, 08:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Just too busy this week to update. Sorry guys. Plus I'm fed up with this. Tired of backloaded winters. So ready for Blue Skies and Spring. I was worried about this for February. Tired of using the heat inside too. Past 10 days been in 30s or low 40s during the day. Ugh.


yeah, Snowy Thursday looks like gonna cause a mess.
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