[Cambium]

Issued yesterday... Above normal temps and below normal precip. Maybe a sign of things to come. Also reminds us how heavy rainfall can lead to flooding

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1144 AM EDT THU APR 14 2016

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

THIS IS THE LAST SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IN A SERIES OF
ROUTINE WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL STATEMENTS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE INSIGHT INTO THE LIKELIHOOD OF RIVER FLOODING (NOT FLASH
FLOODING)OVER THE LOWER HUDSON RIVER VALLEY...NORTHEASTERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND.

THIS OUTLOOK IS BASED ON A CURRENT ASSESSMENT OF HYDRO-
METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS WHICH CONTRIBUTE TO RIVER FLOODING. THESE
FACTORS INCLUDE RECENT PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE...SNOW COVER
AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...RIVER ICE...STREAM-FLOW...FUTURE
WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND OTHERS. THIS OUTLOOK DOES NOT ADDRESS
THE SEVERITY OF ANY FUTURE RIVER FLOODING.

THE LATEST CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK VALID
FROM APRIL 19TH THROUGH THE 23RD SUGGESTS NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WITH BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE
AREA. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FROM APRIL 21ST THROUGH THE 27TH
SUGGESTS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR WHICH LEADS TO RIVER
FLOODING. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT HEAVY RAINFALL CAN RAPIDLY
CAUSE RIVER FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE YEAR...EVEN WHEN OVERALL
RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CONSIDERED LOW OR BELOW NORMAL.

CURRENT FLOODING - NONE.

PRECIPITATION - FOR THE LAST 30 DAYS...PRECIPITATION DEPARTURES
HAVE BEEN NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON RIVER
VALLEY... SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND AND
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

RIVER FLOWS - ACROSS THE LOCAL HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA...FLOWS
ACROSS AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL. REAL-
TIME WATER DATA CAN BE FOUND BY VISITING THE USGS AT
WWW.USGS.GOV/WATER.

SOIL MOISTURE - NORMAL. SOIL MOISTURE AND DROUGHT RELATED DATA
AND CHARTS CAN BE SEEN AT: Climate Prediction Center AND
WWW.DROUGHT.GOV.

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS - RESERVOIR LEVELS ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY
WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM ARE TWO PERCENT BELOW NORMAL. RESERVOIR
LEVELS ACROSS THE COMBINED 13 NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY RESERVOIRS ARE
NORMAL.

FUTURE WEATHER CONDITIONS - DURING THE TWO WEEKS OF THIS OUTLOOK
PERIOD EXPECT AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO BE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL WITH
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

FOR COMPLETE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT:
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/WATER/TEXTPRODS/VIEW.PHP?WFO=OKX&PROD=ESF.

THIS IS THE LAST SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED BY NWS NEW
YORK NY FOR THE SEASON.

[Cambium]

7am temps. Still dipping to near freezing in CT.


31 Danbury
39 Bridgeport


33 BDL
37 Hartford.


33 in Atlantic City
33 Richmond

[Cambium]

3rd Full Clear Sunny day in a row and temps staying below 70° with dewpoints below 30°. Blessed.


" Amazing: Take a trip on I-90 from MN to BOS then up I-95 to the Canadian border and you wouldn't see a single cloud "





https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...795584/photo/1

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

3rd Full Clear Sunny day in a row and temps staying below 70° with dewpoints below 30°. Blessed.


" Amazing: Take a trip on I-90 from MN to BOS then up I-95 to the Canadian border and you wouldn't see a single cloud "





https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...795584/photo/1

This weather is awesome! And like that about the 1000 mile + cloudless area.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

This weather is awesome! And like that about the 1000 mile + cloudless area.

These were the 3pm OBS's. Look at the dewpoints!! Can we all agree warm weather is better dry then humid???

No complaints about 60s either because the sun is high up and hot now. I wish we had this for 6 months straight.

[Brian26]

Originally Posted by Cambium

These were the 3pm OBS's. Look at the dewpoints!! Can we all agree warm weather is better dry then humid???

No complaints about 60s either because the sun is high up and hot now. I wish we had this for 6 months straight.

Absolutely gorgeous weather this weekend. It doesn't really get much better than this. 30 degree temperature differences where its chilly enough at night for a fire and then you are outside getting yard work done the next day in the crisp 60's.

Just got another text about a freeze warning again tonight. I think I have gotten one almost every night the past week.



Dewpoints in the 20's with a nice northerly wind.

[FunkOdyssey]

Originally Posted by Brian26

Absolutely gorgeous weather this weekend. It doesn't really get much better than this. 30 degree temperature differences where its chilly enough at night for a fire and then you are outside getting yard work done the next day in the crisp 60's.

Dewpoints in the 20's with a nice northerly wind.

You guys like this huh? 30+ degree temp differences day/night, low dewpoints, sunny without a cloud in the sky?

There's a place you should check out: the American Southwest!

[Cambium]

Prescott, Arizona got 72 inches of snow. Maybe thats my spot. Then again might be too hot in summer for me.

https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/sta...31258093387777

[beer belly]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Prescott, Arizona got 72 inches of snow. Maybe thats my spot. Then again might be too hot in summer for me.

https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/sta...31258093387777

"But it's a different kind of hot" is what I always hear. Yup, looks to be a great weekend....maybe throw some wood in the Firepit tonight

[Cambium]

This mornings temps. Another morning in the mid 30s here. 30s all the way down to North Carolina.







Danbury is below freezing again this morning! That ties last year now with 11 in April. Haven't had more in decades. Crazy April we're having.