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Old 03-04-2014, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626

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Quote:
Originally Posted by BPt111 View Post
There possbile it might be active hurriance season maybe 1 or 2 could get to east coast similar to hurriance sandy
Similar to Sandy?? You realize the track of Sandy will never be seen or known months away? Sent you a PM.

 
Old 03-04-2014, 06:52 PM
 
Location: Bottom of the Ocean
679 posts, read 1,190,798 times
Reputation: 141
Quote:
Originally Posted by BPt111 View Post
There possbile it might be active hurriance season maybe 1 or 2 could get to east coast similar to hurriance sandy
Sandy was a very rare one, mate. Lets not throw that around.

Quote:
"The particular shape of Sandy's trajectory is very peculiar, and that's very rare, on the order of once every 700 years," said Timothy Hall, a senior scientist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies who co-authored the study. That means that in any particular year, the chance of such a storm track happening is 0.14 percent.

The storm's near-perpendicular strike on the coast was a major factor in the severe flooding seen in New York, New Jersey and other nearby states, Hall added. But the rareness of the storm's track doesn't mean that the coast is safe from other severe storms. (obviously)
Elizabeth Howell, LiveScience Contributor | July 12, 2013 01:06pm ET
 
Old 03-04-2014, 07:02 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by FutureTown View Post
^I'm thinking the opposite. I feel like this Summer will be extreme, and dear lord, I hope not. I don't want Southern U.S-like weather in CT. I can't stand 90+ with crazy humidity for days on end. :/
1977 was like that (historically cold and snowy winter followed by a historically hot summer )
 
Old 03-04-2014, 08:00 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
1977 was like that (historically cold and snowy winter followed by a historically hot summer )
A quick check..

June 1977 was Bridgeport 3rd Coldest June on record (65.1°)
July 1977 was BDR 15th coldest July on record

But Feb-March-April-May didn't make Top 20

Whats funny is many aspects of this winter has been compare to part of the 70s (1977 one), part of the 90s and even late 1800s in some aspects.

I think the Great lakes Ice is important to watch for us here in CT. If the NorthWest flow continues and the lakes are still frozen spring will stay cool.

Im curious what ends up warming us up.

SouthEast Ridge?(I doubt)
Bermuda High?
Central U.S Ridge? (I think so)(down sloping warm air to us)
Zonal U.S Flow? (possible)
 
Old 03-04-2014, 08:10 PM
 
Location: Northeast states
14,055 posts, read 13,942,709 times
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Anyone remeber this here in CT when temps reach near 70 and even 80 in March it was 2012

Poughkeepsie, N.Y.: 73/65/58
Trenton, N.J.: 74/70/59
New Haven, Conn.: 67/59/54

81 degree in Hartford was the high in end of March 2012 http://weather-warehouse.com/Weather..._CT_March.html

New York City Weather: Heat Wave Extinguished by Wet Weekend - Metropolis - WSJ
 
Old 03-04-2014, 08:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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A look at BDR's monthly mean temp departures. Who can forget the 20 months in a row above normal from March 2011? Law of averages might be a scary thought?

 
Old 03-04-2014, 10:28 PM
 
754 posts, read 1,018,491 times
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Bpt111.... Keep up the excellent work. U have nailed a lot of storms early. Good addition to this board.
 
Old 03-05-2014, 04:09 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
A quick check..

June 1977 was Bridgeport 3rd Coldest June on record (65.1°)
July 1977 was BDR 15th coldest July on record

But Feb-March-April-May didn't make Top 20
Wow, really? That's interesting because I was remembering/thinking about the 100+ day that year (104 in Central Park, 103 in BDR......the latter an all-time record for the site that was tied on the same exact date in 2011). I guess the rest of the summer was a lot cooler (I was 9 years old, I only remember the really hot day and being in the pool all day and the water was super warm). I assumed the summer was hot based on a combination of vague memory and how they portrayed it in the movie "Summer of Sam". Thanks!

Quote:
Originally Posted by BPt111 View Post
Anyone remeber this here in CT when temps reach near 70 and even 80 in March it was 2012

Poughkeepsie, N.Y.: 73/65/58
Trenton, N.J.: 74/70/59
New Haven, Conn.: 67/59/54

81 degree in Hartford was the high in end of March 2012 http://weather-warehouse.com/Weather..._CT_March.html

New York City Weather: Heat Wave Extinguished by Wet Weekend - Metropolis - WSJ
I very well remember March 13, 1990 when we all incredibly were in the mid-80s, very much the earliest time of year that happened (85 in Central Park and even 84 in BDR where you'd think the cold Sound would keep it cooler). I was just starting my first post-college job. I also remember in 1998 when the last few days of March had temperatures around 80.
 
Old 03-05-2014, 04:35 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Change has been made from what I'm seeing. The other night most likely is the coldest night until next winter.

Now I'm seeing the warmer temps show up to seasonable levels more times than once. But there should be a flip flop with the cold air. No hot torching pattern

Warmest time frame for Northeast from the most recent Euro00z is Tuesday 11th afternoon. GFS not as warm



Usually when storms come from the Gulf or East coast the models do better as opposed to overrunning precip.

The Euro shows a big storm on the 14th, cold enough for snow. Still over a week away

Canadian is OTS.

Attached Thumbnails
Weather in Connecticut-euro9.jpg  
 
Old 03-05-2014, 04:51 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Danbury's forecast. Looks like cool/cold weather until Friday when we finally get to upper 30s.
Chance of snow showers here and there.
40s on Saturday

Attached Thumbnails
Weather in Connecticut-forecast3.jpg  
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