[kab0906]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

I am going to bed fred. Another let down.

Even I'm a bit disappointed. It rained a gentle rain for a couple of hours and now there's nothing.

I did just go for a pleasant walk. It has cooled a bit.

[b29510]

99% of the damage will be the first half mile from the beach. 99.9% of the picture will be the first half mile from the beach. everything else will be old dead trees that fall on house and gas station canopy. And there will be a lot of pictures of cars under water because they was too stupid to park on the hill


the think about florida, move 80 miles from the coast, at elevation 200 and have no big trees by the house. the only damage I ever had, we had a sear metal shed to keep the lawn mower in. we never found the shed but the mower was still on the plywood floor

[Travelassie]

Originally Posted by b29510

99% of the damage will be the first half mile from the beach. 99.9% of the picture will be the first half mile from the beach. everything else will be old dead trees that fall on house and gas station canopy. And there will be a lot of pictures of cars under water because they was too stupid to park on the hill


the think about florida, move 80 miles from the coast, at elevation 200 and have no big trees by the house. the only damage I ever had, we had a sear metal shed to keep the lawn mower in. we never found the shed but the mower was still on the plywood floor

I'm not familiar with the Big Bend area. But the way they are talking about 14-15 ft storm surges, if there are hills there I think that is where I would head.

[LoriNJ]

Originally Posted by Aquaboy

Florida. Where hurricanes go to die.

Tell that to people who lived through Michael and Ian.

[beachmouse]

Originally Posted by Corrie22

well, somehow Jim Cantore and his entire support and camera crew are going to ride the storm out on Cedar Key too....

.....guess they are all a bunch of idiots

I thought Jim was more sensible than that. It’s like he doesn’t get how isolated Cedar Key is compared to his usual beachfront stops where there’s a nice spot on the third floor of a concrete block with impact glass Hampton Inn he can retreat to if things get too risky.

[Threerun]

Originally Posted by mollybygolly

I am directly in the cone of the hurricane. The people up here in central north Florida are VERY concerned and we are NOT playing it down.

No one in this area has forgotten Hurricane Michael and the devastation it caused.

My sister and her husband live about 60miles SE of Perry, so a little concerned for her (and you). Hope you do okay.

[JRR]

Originally Posted by b29510

99% of the damage will be the first half mile from the beach. 99.9% of the picture will be the first half mile from the beach. everything else will be old dead trees that fall on house and gas station canopy. And there will be a lot of pictures of cars under water because they was too stupid to park on the hill


the think about florida, move 80 miles from the coast, at elevation 200 and have no big trees by the house. the only damage I ever had, we had a sear metal shed to keep the lawn mower in. we never found the shed but the mower was still on the plywood floor

I'm not sure where you are getting this information from. Back in 2004 when Charley hit Punta Gorda I lived in Altamonte Springs on the north side of Orlando about 150 miles from Punta Gorda. We had gusts of 100 mph with extensive damage in the area and it was not just old dead trees and gas station canopies.

When Hugo hit Charleston SC in 1989 Charlotte NC which is about 170 miles away had hurricane force winds with a lot of damage.

Idalia is moving at a pretty good clip so it appears it will not be losing intensity quickly as it moves along. Faster moving hurricanes are a double edged sword; they come and go quicker but maintain intensity longer. Current projection is that Idalia may still be of hurricane strength Wednesday evening when it gets around Savannah

[JRR]

Originally Posted by beach43ofus

I'm playing it down because the media & gov't overhypes these storms every year...like crying Wolf.

I've seen it repeatedly for 40+ years, since I came here for college at 17.

Then, when we did get hit for real with Ian, they had the path wrong, & some were unexpectedly hammered...like in Ft. Myers beach.

The path of this one has a much narrower range of spaghetti models, so its not taking any sharp turns towards land like Ian did.

This storm just became a hurricane this morning, & at 9 am it was only 85 mph at the eye....barely a Cat 1.

It is expected to intensify, but by then, it will have missed SW Florida entirely...where the population's at.

It will reach Cat 2, but it may not even reach Cat 3 before it hits a sparsely populated "big bend" area.

The eye is >200 miles offshore too...nowhere near land as it pases SW FLA. SW Florida is just getting the outer bands.

The worst risk is a Tornado.

I call them as I see them.

We'll see how your prediction holds up. Idalia is currently at 110 mph sustained which is right on the edge of a Cat 3 and is predicted to be a Cat 4 by landfall.

[JRR]

Originally Posted by mollybygolly

Wow. Just wow.

The "Big Bend" area may be sparsely populated by your standards, but hey, guess what? We are real people who value our lives and property.

This is a big storm, and it will have a huge impact on this area.

I'm happy for you that you will not be affected, but there are hundreds of thousands of people who will be.

I'm sorry for some of the comments about this. It is so easy for someone who is not in the direct path of the storm to make light of it. I have been through three hurricane direct hits and two sideswipes of strong tropical force winds and none of them were a joke. This looks to be a bad one for those in the path and I am hoping for the best for anyone in the area.

[Travelassie]

Originally Posted by JRR

I'm sorry for some of the comments about this. It is so easy for someone who is not in the direct path of the storm to make light of it. I have been through three hurricane direct hits and two sideswipes of strong tropical force winds and none of them were a joke. This looks to be a bad one for those in the path and I am hoping for the best for anyone in the area.

Me too. Having been right in the direct path of two Cat 5 hurricanes ( Andrew and Ian), I feel for the poor folks directly in Idalia's path. If there's any saving grace for this monstrosity, hopefully Idalia will be a fast mover through the area so the terrible conditions will be over soon. My best to all in the Big Bend area, and I hope those who were instructed to evacuate did so.