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Rockies home opener. On the bright side the offense woke up, but it wasn't enough to recover from another Tyler Anderson disasterpiece. Rockies lose to the Dodgers 10-6. Anderson's line - 4 IP, 9 hits, 6 runs. For the season - 9 IP, 18 hits, 11 earned runs. Colorado needs to cut their losses and designate him. He's not an MLB starter.
I know it's technically "still early," and "a long season," but after 10 games I'm starting to think 2019 is gonna be a major step back for the Rockies. They're 3-7 after getting embarrassed at home by the Dodgers on national TV tonight. First Sunday Night Baseball game at Coors in a generation (2001) and the Rockies completely sh*t the bed. Dodgers sweep the series and win their 7th in a row against Colorado 12-6.
This team just doesn't look very good. Only 2 of the starting pitchers (Freeland and Marquez) are worth a crap. The other 3 are meh (Gray) and trash (Bettis and Anderson).
Ian Desmond continues to be a gigantic bag of nothing. After tonight he's batting a pitcher-esque .086, and he's just an average fielder - all for the low, low price of $30 million over the next 2 seasons. Brilliant.
Blackmon committed two very costly errors in right tonight, and gifted the Dodgers a pair of runs.
Dahl - well, he's the only one on the team with a halfways-decent batting average, but he's injury-prone. Left tonight's game in the Top of the 3rd after an oblique injury (mind you an oblique injury cost him the entirety of the 2017 season).
Daniel Murphy has a broken finger and is out for a month, so the everyday first baseman is now 36-year-old Mark Reynolds.
At second base, it's the Ryan McMahon/Garrett Hampson show. Defensively they're ok. Offensively they're garbage.
Defensively they're ok at catcher, but neither Chris Iannetta nor Tony Wolters will set the world on fire with their bats.
If they don't get it together soon the Dodgers are gonna run away with the division. Right now I don't see Colorado winning more than 75 games.
After today's 5-2 loss to the Giant, the Rockies have lost seven games in a row and 12 of their last 13. As of right now they have the worst record in baseball at 3-12. There isn't a single everyday player hitting over .250, and there are several guys below .200. I think they're a 65-70 win team.
Gotta give the Rockies some kudos. They've strung together 3 consecutive quality starts and found some offense. Won the last game in their series with the Giants and swept the Padres at Petco. Gray had a solid outing last night despite giving up a solo homer to Wil Myers in the 5th.
Gray has a dubious streak going - he's given up at least one home run in his last 16 appearances dating back to last season.
What a crazy first month of baseball it has been. The Rockies got out to a dismal 3-12 start and just like that followed up with a 9-2 run to bring them to 12-14. It’s going to be okay. It’s a long season and nothing that happens in April is ever sustained throughout the season. Unless a team had a fire sale in the off season and commits to being the bad news bears for a season. The Rox are well on their way to recovering from an awful start and making this the season we all hoped it would be.
What a crazy first month of baseball it has been. The Rockies got out to a dismal 3-12 start and just like that followed up with a 9-2 run to bring them to 12-14. It’s going to be okay. It’s a long season and nothing that happens in April is ever sustained throughout the season. Unless a team had a fire sale in the off season and commits to being the bad news bears for a season. The Rox are well on their way to recovering from an awful start and making this the season we all hoped it would be.
I don't think that is the sort of thing that one may know. They may go on to play better, they may not. Right now they are two games under .500 and have been outscored by 11 runs. They are in the position that they are in because for the first time in three years, Colorado has not gotten off to a lucky start with a bunch of one run victories which masked the actual talent level.
What you are seeing, 12-14, may be their actual talent level. The notion that because they have played better recently, that is a sign that they will play better the rest of the year, is a false one. Every team has up and down streaks and there is actually no such creature as "momentum." Studies have been conducted trying to learn if winning or losing recently predicts further wins or losses. Every study which has looked at the issue has reported the same thing....what you did yesterday, or what you did last week, has no predictive value for what you will do tomorrow or next week. Momentum is an illusion, a false perception created by our tending to remember things which have happened most recently better than we recall things which happened further in the past.
I don't think that is the sort of thing that one may know. They may go on to play better, they may not. Right now they are two games under .500 and have been outscored by 11 runs. They are in the position that they are in because for the first time in three years, Colorado has not gotten off to a lucky start with a bunch of one run victories which masked the actual talent level.
What you are seeing, 12-14, may be their actual talent level. The notion that because they have played better recently, that is a sign that they will play better the rest of the year, is a false one. Every team has up and down streaks and there is actually no such creature as "momentum." Studies have been conducted trying to learn if winning or losing recently predicts further wins or losses. Every study which has looked at the issue has reported the same thing....what you did yesterday, or what you did last week, has no predictive value for what you will do tomorrow or next week. Momentum is an illusion, a false perception created by our tending to remember things which have happened most recently better than we recall things which happened further in the past.
This again?
One-run wins are not a product of luck. Neither are one-run losses a product of bad luck. On that note, the Rockies in this short season have had several one-run losses so far this season and I don't see you arguing that their luck will change due to these losses.
We've discussed this at great length and I have no intention of rehashing, but I can't help but notice the inconsistency with which you apply this "logic."
Also, regarding the bolded, my point in saying "it's going to be okay" was not to assert the Rockies are going to suddenly play like world beaters. My point is simply as stated: it's a long season and often the trends we see in the first month of the season do not last. The Dodgers have started really slow each of the last 3 years and it always seems to work out for them. So even at 3-12 I didn't have a lot of worry about the long term implications on the season.
Another gem from Tyler Anderson tonight. He's the first starter in MLB history to give up 5+ earned runs in 5 innings or less in each of his first five starts. His awesome line tonight - 6 runs (all earned) on 7 hits (2 HR) in four innings of work. His ERA for the season is 11.76.
One-run wins are not a product of luck. Neither are one-run losses a product of bad luck. On that note, the Rockies in this short season have had several one-run losses so far this season and I don't see you arguing that their luck will change due to these losses.
Why would I argue that? My last post stated that the entire notion of momentum is actually the product of illusions we construct. Luck is luck. If you flip a coin nine times and it comes up heads each time, the odds on the 10th flip are still 50-50, not 9-1. A team's luck, good or bad, has no predictive value for what their luck will be in the next game, or in any particular game. In a large sample base, we may safely rely on luck eventually evening itself out, if we couldn't, casinos could not make any money.
As for one run games being a product of luck, I have 30 plus years of studies which have concluded that this is so. Against it I have your assertion that it isn't so, presented without even an argument as to why it is not so. I believe that you can guess where I will place my reliance.
Rox now 15-8 after that 3-12 start. They’re not in the cellar anymore either, which is nice. It will be interesting to see if the Padres can sustain their early season success and the Rox can sustain this recovery and continue to build after digging themselves into an early hole. The D-Backs and Dodgers we already knew would be solid to outstanding, so the NL West could become a crowded division real quick as we reach summer.
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