Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
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Cam i think the nws is being way too conservative on snowfall totals on that map! Way too much lol.
Here is the nws in nc... further west than any models even show possibly!!!
As of 300 AM EST: Today`s snow forecast for our piedmont locations
remains highly uncertain as concern exists over the southern tier
U.S. wave sharpening up and acquiring a negative tilt more quickly
than depicted by the operational models. Currently, water vapor
imagery shows the amplified system already attempting to acquire a
neutral tilt as it moves into western Mississippi. Additional height
falls are indicated upstream over the plains and the fear is that an
injection of cold and dry air into the back of the trough axis will
deepen the feature more sharply and farther west than indicated by
the models. This would result in snowfall being produced farther
inland than featured in the operational models, possible across a
good chunk of our forecat area. At any rate, we`re getting set up
for a cold day, with temps largely in the teens in most areas early
this morning, but with little opportunity for insolation today as
the mid and high clouds are already thickening up from the southwest.
Concern is growing that a baroclinic leaf structure might start
lining up farther west than anticipated today as the system goes
solidly neutral tilt over Georgia this afternoon, then negatively
tilted crossing the western Carolinas
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