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There it is. The 984mb Hudson Bay storm now. Beautiful looking storm. Wow. Dragging the cold front with it as it spins. But I noticed this cold front is not really a cold front. Temps will still be warm/hot here in the mid-upper 80s. Looking behind the front it's not really interesting.
I ignore the "general" statements like few periods of above normal", ect.. There's always a period of above/below normal. I mostly grab info and learn other stuff being said... With that said... Here's his thoughts on August & September..
Steve D...
Oh, and take note what a warming stratosphere does. It contracts the 500mb level and is able to create troughs and a cooler surface.
All one need do is look around northern Australia at the SST. They are above average. That is not a good sign for an El Nino. This El Nino may not even be here this winter. I knew it was all hyped up for news ratings.
If this guy is right, we will have the exact same pattern as last winter (Jan and Feb that is). Watch out.
I ignore the "general" statements like few periods of above normal", ect.. There's always a period of above/below normal. I mostly grab info and learn other stuff being said... With that said... Here's his thoughts on August & September..
Steve D...
Oh, and take note what a warming stratosphere does. It contracts the 500mb level and is able to create troughs and a cooler surface.
Can you provide a link to Steve D website. I'd like to follow his site.
There it is. The 984mb Hudson Bay storm now. Beautiful looking storm. Wow. Dragging the cold front with it as it spins. But I noticed this cold front is not really a cold front. Temps will still be warm/hot here in the mid-upper 80s. Looking behind the front it's not really interesting.
Highs won't change that much, lows will change more. Low are back to low 60s. And highs mid 80s instead of low 90s, not an impressive change but it's midsummer. Back to normal summer weather. Dewpoints looks a lot better, though still mostly in the 60s.
What ever happened to the tropical storm the Euro was predicting?
Sunrise light illuminates the northern summits of the Presidential range. From left to right: Mt. Clay, Jefferson, Adams, and Madison. Skies will start out fair this morning but as a cold front approaches, numerous showers and thunderstorms will pop up and move in over the state
The Long Range discussions are with subscription which is worth it. You don't hear that kind of knowledge from other meteos (at least for free you don't). It's like going to school.
His best line was "It's meterology, not modelology" Hates when people use the models as gospel, he rather look at the science behind it.. and he doesn't hype. October snowstorm was his worst call though saying it wasn't going to accumulate. Models did show it.
On that note..
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei
What ever happened to the tropical storm the Euro was predicting?
No more.
From 3 days ago...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
GFS and nei score one? Lol we'll see. Maybe they had the wrong time frame. But its been gone from the Euro for 3 runs now
Good for you American GFS. Show that EURO model who's making a comeback!
Case in point.. gotta stay on top and look for consistency.. Euro stopped showing it after 4 runs. 4 runs is nothing! I fell for the trap.. Been a while for a big storm so I'm rusty. lol
Meteociel needs a better scale. 6°C @ 850 hPa for us?!
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