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Old 11-21-2016, 11:28 PM
 
Location: Juneau, AK + Puna, HI
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
so Arctic sea ice is melting in mid November

https://twitter.com/ZLabe/status/800179367594688514


UPDATE: On November 19, it had become apparent that significant sea ice losses were ongoing in the Arctic. According to the JAXA sea ice monitor, about 140,000 square kilometers of sea ice had been lost over the period of November 16 through 18. As Arctic Ocean ice typically freezes quite rapidly during November, such counter trend losses are highly extraordinary. Now, sea ice in the Arctic, according to JAXA is 995,000 square kilometers below the previous record low set during 2012.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.e9f2be81ec03

So what is going on here?

“It’s about 20C [36 degrees Fahrenheit] warmer than normal over most of the Arctic Ocean, along with cold anomalies of about the same magnitude over north-central Asia,” Jennifer Francis, an Arctic specialist at Rutgers University, said by email Wednesday.

“The Arctic warmth is the result of a combination of record-low sea-ice extent for this time of year, probably very thin ice, and plenty of warm/moist air from lower latitudes being driven northward by a very wavy jet stream.”

Francis has published research suggesting that the jet stream, which travels from west to east across the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-latitudes, is becoming more wavy and elongated as the Arctic warms faster than the equator does...

Last edited by Arktikos; 11-21-2016 at 11:36 PM..
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Old 11-22-2016, 06:49 AM
 
29,594 posts, read 19,712,788 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blind Cleric View Post
UPDATE: On November 19, it had become apparent that significant sea ice losses were ongoing in the Arctic. According to the JAXA sea ice monitor, about 140,000 square kilometers of sea ice had been lost over the period of November 16 through 18. As Arctic Ocean ice typically freezes quite rapidly during November, such counter trend losses are highly extraordinary. Now, sea ice in the Arctic, according to JAXA is 995,000 square kilometers below the previous record low set during 2012.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.e9f2be81ec03

So what is going on here?

“It’s about 20C [36 degrees Fahrenheit] warmer than normal over most of the Arctic Ocean, along with cold anomalies of about the same magnitude over north-central Asia,” Jennifer Francis, an Arctic specialist at Rutgers University, said by email Wednesday.

“The Arctic warmth is the result of a combination of record-low sea-ice extent for this time of year, probably very thin ice, and plenty of warm/moist air from lower latitudes being driven northward by a very wavy jet stream.”

Francis has published research suggesting that the jet stream, which travels from west to east across the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-latitudes, is becoming more wavy and elongated as the Arctic warms faster than the equator does...



Arctic sea is is slow growing this November because an early PV split sent all the cold air into Siberia

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Old 11-26-2016, 07:17 AM
 
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Old 11-26-2016, 08:04 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quite a trend, but looks like 2007 was similar. Won't be for November. Graph would look less drastic if the y-axis started at 0.
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Old 11-26-2016, 08:29 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Quite a trend, but looks like 2007 was similar. Won't be for November. Graph would look less drastic if the y-axis started at 0.
Insane. 30 year average is 9 million sq km.... This October was at 6 million sq km
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Old 11-26-2016, 08:39 AM
BMI
 
Location: Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Insane. 30 year average is 9 million sq km.... This October was at 6 million sq km
Agree.

Strangely the warming is more strong on the Russian side....
I wonder is Putin somehow involved
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Old 11-28-2016, 12:07 PM
SFX
 
Location: Tennessee
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Quote:
Originally Posted by snogubbe View Post
the anomalies in svalbard have been so extreme that the graph for the daily average temperature (1961-1990) barely is visible within the bar-graph for daily maximum and minimum temperatures.


https://www.yr.no/place/Norway/Svalb...tatistics.html
Attached Thumbnails
Arctic Sea ice extent-mnd.eng.png  
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Old 11-28-2016, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Trondheim, Norway - 63 N
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That is Bear Island, an island halfway between Svalbard and North Cape, Norway. But included in the Svalbard Treaty.


Here is Svalbard Airport (Longyearbyen):
Yr

Right now -2.8C at Svalbard Airport, the 61-90 mean for today is -11.7C.
Coldest low the coldest day the last 30 days still warmer than the 61-90 daily mean.

Every month since November 2010 have been warmer than average.
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Old 11-28-2016, 03:39 PM
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Location: Tennessee
1,648 posts, read 907,504 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by snogubbe View Post
the anomalies in svalbard have been so extreme that the graph for the daily average temperature (1961-1990) barely is visible within the bar-graph for daily maximum and minimum temperatures.
Attached Thumbnails
Arctic Sea ice extent-mnd.eng-1-.png  
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Old 04-19-2017, 09:51 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
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So the Arctic sea ice has begun its retreat for spring and summer after reaching its maximum extent in March. In keeping with recent patterns, sea ice extent is near record lows for the period of satellite data. The record low extent of mid-March was tempered somewhat by extreme cold in the Canadian High Arctic during March allowing the extent to actually grow again towards the end of the month.



Here's current coverage. As you can see, well below recent medians. The west coasts Svalbard and Severny Island are completely exposed to open ocean.


You can see here the March temperature anomalies that reflect the extreme cold in Arctic Canada and Alaska during the month. Of course, this record cold was complimented by well above-average temperatures in Siberia.


This blog entry has some interesting information about the March cold outbreak whence Mould Bay set an all-time record of -54°C (records having been kept there since 1948).
Deep Cold: Interior and Northern Alaska Weather & Climate: Record Cold in Arctic Canada

The trend for the Arctic in its entirety is for unprecedented warmth. Vize Island (Northern Kara Sea, 79°N 76°E) has a five-month average of 10°C above normal from November to March. To put that in perspective as to how unusual that is consider: if New York City was so anomalously warm during November-March then it would be as warm as Jacksonville Florida.
Deep Cold: Interior and Northern Alaska Weather & Climate: Arctic Update
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