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Old 07-11-2009, 04:23 PM
 
5,642 posts, read 15,709,092 times
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Wondering how the metro areas are going to grow in the next 10 years? Based on data already gathered since 2000, here's what the graphs are showing:
Attached Thumbnails
Texas Metro Population Growth Forecast-population-texas.gif  
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Old 07-11-2009, 04:51 PM
 
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Yes, saw this graph some years ago. It may have "come out" before the year 2000. It's way off for what has occured for many cities. Tyler has grown 16.8% already in 8 years according to the census estimates that just came out for the date of July 1, 2008. Census often is very close to count next year on April 1. Also the Texas State Data Center - google it. txsdc.usla.edu. Has Tyler growth at 16.4% as if January 1, 2008. Usually very accurate statewide. So thank what you wish of the graph. Oh, the point of this, the graph has Tyler at about a 17% growth for the entire period of 20 years. Showing the growth a year ago at what it should be in 2020.?
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Old 07-11-2009, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Abilene, Texas
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Interesting graph. If those trends end up being accurate it looks Laredo could certainly be a much larger city by 2020. There were some surprises on there. How Odessa is projected to grow faster than Waco, Tyler, and Lubbock is very puzzling to me. No offense intended to Odessans (Odessaites??) but the last population figures I saw had Waco, Tyler, and Lubbock growing at a faster rate than Odessa. Maybe I saw some outdated numbers.
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Old 07-11-2009, 05:50 PM
 
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on the bottom it says that graph was created in 2006.
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Old 07-11-2009, 07:26 PM
 
Location: Underneath the Pecan Tree
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Growth could really slow for Killeen, since the area heavily depends on the military.
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Old 07-12-2009, 12:05 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jluke65780 View Post
Growth could really slow for Killeen, since the area heavily depends on the military.
Wouldn't doubt it. This is why Killeen is trying to attract more industry. However, it still is growing during the time of war. Something that did not happen during Desert Storm.
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Old 07-12-2009, 12:35 PM
 
Location: Underneath the Pecan Tree
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spade View Post
Wouldn't doubt it. This is why Killeen is trying to attract more industry. However, it still is growing during the time of war. Something that did not happen during Desert Storm.
True. I wish Killeen would start buidling up some kind of core, because it has lots of potential.
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Old 07-12-2009, 01:03 PM
Status: "We need America back!" (set 17 hours ago)
 
Location: Suburban Dallas
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With any projections, it's always give or take. Those numbers should about on par for the course, but you never know. I got a big kick out of Texarkana's little blip.
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Old 07-12-2009, 02:13 PM
 
Location: Texas
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I wouldn't bet the farm on such forecasts or make investment decisions made upon them.

Back in the 60's, it was "forecast" that Denison would have a population of about 90,000, and it's neighbor Sherman around 110,000, by the turn of the 21st century.

Unfortunately for the forecasters, the two cities populations have remained essentially unchanged since then.
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Old 07-12-2009, 08:34 PM
 
Location: Midessa, Texas Home Yangzhou, Jiangsu temporarily
1,506 posts, read 4,279,697 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TT Dave View Post
Interesting graph. If those trends end up being accurate it looks Laredo could certainly be a much larger city by 2020. There were some surprises on there. How Odessa is projected to grow faster than Waco, Tyler, and Lubbock is very puzzling to me. No offense intended to Odessans (Odessaites??) but the last population figures I saw had Waco, Tyler, and Lubbock growing at a faster rate than Odessa. Maybe I saw some outdated numbers.
Odessa has grown faster than Waco, Tyler, and Lubbock for the last couple of years, but for 2000 to 2008 overall they have all grown faster than Odessa.

2007-2008 Percent growth
.Odessa city 2.15
.Waco city 1.31
.Tyler city 1.76
.Lubbock city 1.09

2006-2007
.Odessa city 2.41
.Waco city 1.30
.Tyler city 1.96
.Lubbock city 1.02

2005-2006
.Odessa city 1.73
.Waco city 0.66
.Tyler city 2.65
.Lubbock city 1.38

2004-2005
.Odessa city 0.86
.Waco city 0.91
.Tyler city 2.36
.Lubbock city 1.07

2003-2004
.Odessa city 1.03
.Waco city 1.44
.Tyler city 1.78
.Lubbock city 1.21

2002-2003
.Odessa city 0.27
.Waco city 1.06
.Tyler city 1.53
.Lubbock city 1.57

2001-2002
.Odessa city 0.80
.Waco city 0.82
.Tyler city 1.67
.Lubbock city 1.15

2000-2001
.Odessa city -0.46
.Waco city 0.17
.Tyler city 0.36
.Lubbock city 0.15

Looking at this data, I would say that Tyler has the best outlook for growth. Then Lubbock with pretty steady growth. Then Waco. Then Odessa as a wild card. Odessa might outgrow them, but it could just as easily go bust.

Also, wow, look at 2000 to 2001. What a tough year for everyone, especially Odessa.
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