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Originally Posted by AADAD
Israel cannot handle Iran and the other peeps at the same time.
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.......destroying infrastructure.
Israel is like no other country. A majority of its citizens have been through the military. Thus it can call up their reservists very quickly. Israelis are much more strong willed then their Arab neighbors. Israel is getting to the point that it will most likely go into Gaza and take it over again and reverse the 2005 exodus of all Jews out of the area. They've been free of any Jews in Gaza for nearly seven years and we see how well they've done. Iran, nor any other Arab country, will not intervene militarily with Israel.
As to its infrastructure. Their roads by design over the years make it nearly impossible to cut off one part of the country from another. They have numerous reduncies in place that covers power, airports,etc.
I don’t think Egypt will risk an intervention that will threaten their existence. The Muslim brotherhood needs stability so their agenda can take place. The joke will be on them if their government is toppled shortly after it was formed. Hamas probably will launch attacks from the Palestinian territory but they are not a part of the Iranian state. And any excuse to invade Iran because of Hamas without proof will be looked down upon. Israel is more likely to strike Iran’s Nuclear facilities if a deal isn’t reached within the next year or so.
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Originally Posted by KUchief25
Hamas will hit something big, Israel will strike back in kind and then it will begin. With the brudderhood in Egypt now what will they do? Make a run across the peninsula?
Hezbollah and Hamas will start attacking Israel. Iran will launch at Israel destroying infrastructure. NATO will attack Iran (note the report today in the news that NATO inspectors were denied access....again). Iran's nuclear plants will be bombed to stones and mortar. The Arab world will stand back. Gas prices and everything else here will cost more.
Cost more would be an understatement. If one considers that in 1979, gas prices tripled all because Iran cut off its supply to the U.S. market, it's downright sobering to consider the sort of damage that Iran *could* cause if it wanted to take the extreme step of shutting down the Strait of Hormuz. Fast-forward to today. Whereas in 1979, the U.S. produced 30-40 percent more oil than it imported and Iran only counted for a certain portion of that oil, in 2012, the U.S. imports twice as much oil as it produces. Moreover, what Iran is talking about doing isn't just cutting off its oil to the U.S. -- sanctions have effectively done that for decades. It is talking about shutting down a major 'choke point' for oil transit (40 percent of world's supply of oil goes out of Hormuz). We're talking about global supply of energy getting squeezed in the short-term and not having any real idea about how prepared the industrial world is in dealing with that stoppage. In short, it could possibly cause the worst energy crisis in modern history, which in turn would represent a major economic and political crisis that would involve far more countries than just the U.S., Israel, and Iran.
If Israel is arrogant and insane enough to think that it is so important that it can just attack Iran by itself and that the U.S. will automatically defend it, then it's seriously deluded, and we would be pretty deluded to jump into this blindly. But the pro-Zionist lobby has a lot of clout and will surely put lots of political pressure on any sitting president and congress, and Netanyahu knows that.
I say leave Iran alone. Iran is not a threat to Israel. They're a nuisance but not a threat.
With the war winding down in Iraq etc. the war mongering Merikans are salivating over this possiblity. In Merika - war is money. The hawks are circling and the military will be led down to their own slaughter again. Another war will bankrupt the U.S., but then who really understands that/
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