FYI: Tropical Storm Watch (Galveston, Prairie View: home, employment, neighborhood)

[txstate]

Cat 1 by morning time, no work just rain.

[Wysiwyg]

man, you guys are bored.

[downtownnola]

I'm flying into Houston on Thursday night. Any guess what it will be like when I arrive? I know that one of the major concerns right now is flooding... do you think that things will be somewhat back to normal when I arrive?

Stay safe and dry down there!!

[tstone]

Thursday we'll be fine. Flooding happens but never stays around for very long.

[ShelbyGirl1]

Spent the morning pulling in all the stuff that could possibly turn "projectile". Filled gas tank and got lots of water and batteries.
My husband just sent a update to me from his guys at work...



Looking a bit better in this one. Moving further south and west.


TropicsWatch
<tropicswatch@
impactweather. To
com>
08/04/2008 cc
10:41 AM
Subject
Tropical Storm Edouard, Advisory 4
Please respond
to
TropicsWatch
<tropicswatch@
impactweather.
com>








(Embedded image moved to file: pic21828.gif)TropicsWatch
Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory #4
Valid: 10:00 AM CDT Monday August 04, 2008
(Embedded image moved to file: pic04784.gif)Tropical Storm Edouard Track
Chart, Advisory #4


Current Status


At 10AM CDT, Tropical Edouard is located near 28.2N/90.6W, or about 270
miles east-southeast of Galveston, TX. Movement is to the west at 8 mph.
Maximum sustained winds are now 45 mph. Satellite and radar indicate that
though Edouard weakened overnight, thunderstorms are rebuilding quite
rapidly near the center this morning. A reconnaissance aircraft inside the
storm confirms that Edouard's central pressure has begun to slowly fall, a
sign of strengthening.


From the National Hurricane Center - A tropical storm warning is extended
westward to Port O'Connor, TX as of 10AM CDT. A tropical storm warning is
now in effect from the mouth of the Mississippi River to Port O'Connor, TX.
A hurricane watch remains in effect from west of Intracoastal City, LA to
Port O'Connor, TX.


Changes from Previous Forecast


We have made a few reductions to the projected wind radii on this advisory.
Also, we have made a slight southward adjustment in the forecast track on
this advisory, taking the center inland over southern Galveston Island
around 10am CDT tomorrow.


Our Forecast


New model data indicate that the area of high pressure north of Edouard may
be a little stronger than earlier predicted. This stronger high pressure to
the north of Edouard may not allow for much northward movement over the
next 24-36 hours. We have nudged our forecast track a little to the south
on this advisory, taking the center inland over southern Galveston Island
tomorrow morning. Once inland, Edouard should track to the west to
west-southwest, passing between San Antonio and Austin Tuesday night.
Confidence in the forecast track is about average, but we may be adjusting
the point of landfall as much as 30 miles either side of the current
forecast over the next 12-18 hours.


As for intensity, upper-level winds are becoming favorable for gradual
intensification right up until landfall. We think that Edouard will
steadily strengthen right up until landfall tomorrow morning, when Edouard
could be a Category 1 hurricane with winds to 75 mph. However, we expect
that the 75 mph winds will cover only a small area offshore at landfall. We
are not expecting any penetraion of hurricane force winds inland into
southeast Texas.


A storm of this intensity striking the upper Texas coast could produce a
storm surge in the 4-6 foot range near and about 30-50 miles up the coast
of the point of landfall late Tuesday morning. It's possible that the surge
could reach 7-8 feet in a few areas near the point of landfall. Rainfall
amounts of 4-6 inches with isolated amounts to 10 inches can be expected
along the track of the storm across southeast and south-central Texas on
Tuesday and Wednesday.


Other Possibilities


As mentioned above, we will likely be making slight adjustments in the
track right up until landfall. Since Edouard is forecast to be a very small
hurricane, any slight adjustments in the track could have a significant
impact on the projected wind speeds at a location.


Our next forecast will be issued by 3pm CDT.

[tstone]

Moving farther south/west is not looking better. It means that we'll be on the dirty side of the storm, and you guys out there on Clear Lake will be experiencing the full 4-5 ft swell.

[EasilyAmused]

Really don't want to be without power in this stinking heat.

[ShelbyGirl1]

The storm surge is what makes life interesting around here. The boat that is in the boat house has a tower on it...It's lifted as high as it can go...if the surge hits really hard it could lift the boat right thru the roof! Not sure much we can do about it...to let it stay tied up at the dock would bash it all up and we don't have a trailer for it.

[Wysiwyg]

well, i'm excited. That storm and my father has the same name.

[tstone]

ShelbyGirl- If it raised up 4 1/2 feet, would it crash on the roof? Because that's the current forecast for Clear Lake. High Island is projected to be on the dirty side with a 5 1/2 foot swell.

If the storm moves to the south/west like around Freeport, you can expect 5 1/2 feet at Clear Lake.

It's pretty negligible for everyone... except for folks like you w/ the boats and waterfront property. IIRC spots immediately around the lake (south shore?) are Cat 1 or 2 evacuation zone.