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Old 05-05-2014, 09:54 AM
 
Location: West Orange, NJ
12,546 posts, read 21,473,481 times
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California May Cut Gasoline Demand 9% by 2020, BNEF Says - Bloomberg

I thought this was very interesting. A bunch of people I've shared this with find the number "amazing". But doesn't this simply display that cutting our consumption is far easier than often portrayed?
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Old 05-05-2014, 02:13 PM
 
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I believe it - especially if people leave Cali in droves due to the drought.
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Old 05-05-2014, 05:44 PM
 
Location: On the Chesapeake
45,702 posts, read 61,117,345 times
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And then gas taxes will have to increase to make up for the loss of revenue engendered by lower sales.
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Old 05-05-2014, 07:37 PM
 
7,279 posts, read 11,000,798 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp View Post
California May Cut Gasoline Demand 9% by 2020, BNEF Says - Bloomberg

I thought this was very interesting. A bunch of people I've shared this with find the number "amazing". But doesn't this simply display that cutting our consumption is far easier than often portrayed?
Please explain the "easier" part.

Last edited by Mack Knife; 05-05-2014 at 07:53 PM..
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Old 05-06-2014, 07:42 AM
 
Location: West Orange, NJ
12,546 posts, read 21,473,481 times
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California cut their consumption by 3 billion gallons since 2002, and is expected to eliminate at least another 1 billion by 2020. i dunno, i'm just always encountered by people who claim it's too difficult for them to use less gasoline.
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Old 05-06-2014, 09:10 AM
 
7,279 posts, read 11,000,798 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp View Post
California cut their consumption by 3 billion gallons since 2002, and is expected to eliminate at least another 1 billion by 2020. i dunno, i'm just always encountered by people who claim it's too difficult for them to use less gasoline.
According to sources like the EPA , the country could use 1 billion gallons a year less by making sure vehicle tires are inflated properly. That could happen overnight and is far easier than say, spending tens of thousands on EVs, yet that seems to be difficult to accomplish.

1 billion by tomorrow or 1 billion by 2020. Many people can't use less gasoline or other fuel, they need to go to work, shop for food and so on.

If we really want to lower fuel consumption, the answer isn't EVs, that just shunts the fuel use to some other part of the use chain, the fuels are still used. The solar power so often claimed to be "the" solution isn't happening by 2020 or by the time horizon doomsday for environmental collapse is claimed to be irreversible. We are decades away from that making up enough supply to meet the demands of even a significant portion of EV if everyone had them.

The solution to lower fuel use is making it possible to use less fuel by reducing the distances need to travel to accomplish what everyone needs to accomplish, not by changing the way you get there.

You only have to look at new delivery systems being proposed and actually worked on by the likes of Google and Amazon to see that the real genius isn't Musk and EVs, it is behind being able to buy something and have it delivered or working and not having to commute as much as practical.

The ugly little problem is always taxes. Everyone drive an EV? Right until they get taxed heavily to make up for reduced taxes coming from fuel sales. The thing often overlooked is that people aren't as accepting of taxes when they use an EV because like solar panels on your roof, everyone expects someone else to help pay for it. Remove the subsidies watch how fast these nifty "green" initiatives go kerplunk. There is only so much tax money to go around.

There are some people that will see new taxes as an offset for fuel taxes. Most will not because things like subsidies are easy to give , nearly impossible to take away.

The fuel providers will simply raise the prices of their fuels, they are driven by shareholder demands so thinking using less fuel is going to hurt them doesn't flow. Notice the price of a litre of gasoline in Europe? It isn't like they can't get fuel there and it isn't that it costs that much more to get it either. The price is higher because people pay it. The same thing will happen here.

Tax hikes and new taxes are just on the horizon. There is no way out of it when it comes to reducing fuels used by consumers. You want proof? Look at the price of water where water conservation took hold. Prices shot up like crazy because people used less water and those were municipal water districts, not private entities.

There is no free ride but things like EV and solar have been marketed as just that, a free ride that other subsidize. Try changing that.
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Old 05-06-2014, 12:45 PM
 
15,912 posts, read 20,262,546 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp View Post
California May Cut Gasoline Demand 9% by 2020, BNEF Says - Bloomberg

I thought this was very interesting. A bunch of people I've shared this with find the number "amazing". But doesn't this simply display that cutting our consumption is far easier than often portrayed?
No
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Old 05-06-2014, 01:12 PM
 
Location: DC
6,848 posts, read 8,032,812 times
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California has led the way in controlling per capita energy consumption in this country.
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Old 05-06-2014, 02:17 PM
 
Location: Under a bridge
2,420 posts, read 3,868,391 times
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Isn't the recent gasoline consumption decrease attributed to the recession to some degree? With less people working and work hours cut people drive less. Same with transporting merchandise to stores. Less people buying would mean less inventory in stores so less deliveries. Also, more people buying online (Amazon, ebay, etc.) so less trips. One UPS truck delivers dozens and dozens of packages per day so that eliminates consumers' trips to the brick and mortars to buy those items. Another factor may be urbanization. Cities want people to shop and hang out downtown- close to home. You can walk, ride your bike or ride the bus. Bicycle infrastructure is on the rise everywhere in the USA. Cities are rushing to get bike lanes set up. People riding their bicycles to work, to shop, to school is rising considerably. Bicycling should at least make a very, very small dent to overall driving.

-Cheers.
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Old 05-06-2014, 03:05 PM
 
7,279 posts, read 11,000,798 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DCforever View Post
California has led the way in controlling per capita energy consumption in this country.
California has managed to do that because of it's climate and the resistance to sprawl although that is starting to change as more and more people want out of the congestion.

Given the amount of money California spends on social welfare, that is hasn't over the last 4 decades done far more to reduce the needs to use fossil fuels, it is pretty disgraceful. California has so many advantages over other states, not because of government or society but because of where it is located that those with the influence and power to do so much but do so little can only be classified as morons.
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