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Obama Ahead in FL, MO, NV, NC, OH & VA
Reuters/Zogby telephone surveys of eight battleground states show Democrat Barack Obama ahead in six. While his lead over Republican John McCain is less than three points in Florida, Missouri and North Carolina, these results still point out the daunting task McCain faces to reach the 270 Electoral College votes needed for election.
More info here:
Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1612 - broken link)
I just can't wait till I don't have to hear that old senile man say "my friends" anymore. You're not my friend old man. If you are than give me one of your houses.
While there are a few surprises here and there, once again the theme of today's polls is stability in the race for the White House.
John McCain narrowed his gap significantly in today's Zogby tracking poll, drawing from 9.5 points behind to 5.3. As you probably know, I have a signifiacnt critique of Zogby's weighting mechanism, which assumes that the partisan identification breakdown will be roughly equal to 2004, when about the same number of Democrats and Republicans turned out for the election. Neverthless, McCain also improved slightly in the Research 2000, IBD/TIPP, and ABC/Post polls. On the other hand, Barack Obama gained a point in Hotline and the Gallup "Likely Voters II" model (though not Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model), and remains at his high-water mark in Rasmussen.
Zogby is playing publicity games to get polling recognition and it is working.
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