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I was doing some research last night and this mirrors the 2004 election were Kerry did better than 50% among women voters in the election so it's not surprising. Dems concentrate on issues that women are concerned about such as healthcare & education for instance.
That's the way Republicans argue their point. They have short memories! Do you notice that McCain is borrowing words from Obama that he criticized not long ago? I mean when someone known as "Mr. Deregulator" in Congress can preach about enforcing stricter regulations with a straight face, I wonder what else he is lying about?
Anyway, to stick to the topic, I don't trust polls, but as a White woman, I can't imagine anyone voting for McCain who cares about women's rights. He chose Palin to show he's a maverick and a reformer, but both of their records demonstrate just the opposite to me. I think the initial fascination with Palin is beginning to wear off. Although a large percentage of people will vote for a personality, too many people care about their futures and the futures of their children. Hillary Clinton would have been my choice, but the McCain/Palin ticket has little, if anything, to offer her supporters. I have read posts on this board from Clinton supporters who are now voting for McCain and I'm baffled. To me, it's like harpooning a whale in memory of Jacques Cousteau.
It's called 'sampling' to replicate the actual universe. The following is several months old, but it indicates the trend of current registrations. The point is that there ARE more registered democrats than republicans, so to not sample for that would be totally flawed methodology.
A new poll by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press reports that independent voters have an equally favorable opinion of both parties, 50 to 49 percent, a one-point edge for the GOP. That compares to an 18-point Democratic advantage as recently as August, a wide gap that had generally held for more than a year.
Your Pew link is old. Times have changed.
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/party_affiliation/number_of_democrats_in_us_declines_in_july - broken link)
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_rasmussen_reports_party_weighting_targets_38_7 _democrat_33_6_republican - broken link)
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/party_affiliation/partisan_trends - broken link)
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/party_affiliation/number_of_democrats_in_us_declines_in_july - broken link)
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_rasmussen_reports_party_weighting_targets_38_7 _democrat_33_6_republican - broken link)
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/party_affiliation/partisan_trends - broken link)
Thanks! This confirms what I was saying before. Your second Rasmussen link shows the percentages used for weighting the sample:
38.7% Democrat
33.6% Republican
so, in order for any survey to correctly reflect the population of registered voters, the assumption is that it would HAVE to include MORE democrats than republicans. Since they weight their data, they are 'forcing' their sample to represent more democrats than republicans, which is essentially the same thing.
Perhaps the Governor's negativity in the Economic climate isn't the best way to exhibit leadership.
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