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Old 09-10-2008, 03:51 PM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,431,660 times
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Michigan: Obama 49, McCain 45

Missouri: McCain 50, Obama 45

New Hampshire: Obama 51, McCain 45

Virginia: McCain 50, Obama 46

Dates conducted: September 7-9.

I guess there's some good news for both sides here.


The Page - by Mark Halperin - TIME
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:19 PM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,582,142 times
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I see Obama did pick up one of the battleground states, New Hampshire. This is my prediction for November based on TODAYS polls. Colorado will be very important for Obama. Nevada is already leaning towards Obama. Obama doesnt even need Nevada. If he just wins Colorado Obama is the next president. Currently Obama has a slight lead in Colorado. Colorado is a must if Obama loses Ohio, Florida and Virginia which are also battleground states.


Last edited by gsoboi; 09-10-2008 at 04:27 PM..
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:28 PM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,431,660 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi View Post
I see Obama did pick up one of the battleground states, New Hampshire. This is my prediction for November based on TODAYS polls. Colorado will be very important for Obama. Nevada is already leaning towards Obama. Obama doesnt even need Nevada. If he just wins Colorado Obama is the next president

Yeah, I agree Obama has to have Colorado and New Mexico if he loses both Florida and Ohio. A new Rasmussen Poll (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election - broken link) has Florida tied at 48%...Obama wins there, he wins the election.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:38 PM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,582,142 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
Yeah, I agree Obama has to have Colorado and New Mexico if he loses both Florida and Ohio. A new Rasmussen Poll (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election - broken link) has Florida tied at 48%...Obama wins there, he wins the election.
If the jewish and black vote are strong in Florida Obama can win Florida. But then again McCain is not as popular in FLorida as Bush was so that leaves an opening for Obama to take the state.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:46 PM
 
Location: Floribama
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I get the feeling Pennsylvania will go to McCain.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:48 PM
 
Location: South Fla
1,044 posts, read 1,954,071 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
Yeah, I agree Obama has to have Colorado and New Mexico if he loses both Florida and Ohio. A new Rasmussen Poll (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election - broken link) has Florida tied at 48%...Obama wins there, he wins the election.
I am trying to stay very conservative in my guesstimate, I think it will be 273-265 Obama over McCain, which will mean that CO & NM are the only real swing states that have to go blue, but that's it. I would love to have the luxury of VA or FL, but I'm not going to hang my hat on either of them. 270towin is awesome!
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:49 PM
 
Location: 32°19'03.7"N 106°43'55.9"W
9,375 posts, read 20,801,239 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
Yeah, I agree Obama has to have Colorado and New Mexico if he loses both Florida and Ohio. A new Rasmussen Poll (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election - broken link) has Florida tied at 48%...Obama wins there, he wins the election.
New Mexico polling data also released here has McCain up for the first time:
Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election - broken link)

I know in the last week, the amount of signage on bumper stickers and lawns for McCain has skyrocketed. Of course, that's not a final determiner of election results, but nonetheless, you can sense a groundswell here for the McCain ticket, which I would have thought unrealistic before Labor Day.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:51 PM
 
Location: South Fla
1,044 posts, read 1,954,071 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mike0421 View Post
New Mexico polling data also released here has McCain up for the first time:
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election - broken link)

I know in the last week, the amount of signage on bumper stickers and lawns for McCain has skyrocketed. Of course, that's not a final determiner of election results, but nonetheless, you can sense a groundswell here for the McCain ticket, which I would have thought unrealistic before Labor Day.
Yes, but Rasmussen still gives the Dems a 70% chance to win in November, I like those odds.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:54 PM
 
Location: 32°19'03.7"N 106°43'55.9"W
9,375 posts, read 20,801,239 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LLLL98 View Post
Yes, but Rasmussen still gives the Dems a 70% chance to win in November, I like those odds.
I would have said before the RNC, the %s would be even higher than that. But it's like a switch was thrown here. I can't believe adding Palin to the ticket would create such energy here, but it seems to.

I've voted Republican every prior election, but I can't do so this time, even with all the new enthusiasm. Of course, I'd crawl through a sewer barefoot before I voted for Obama.
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Old 09-10-2008, 05:00 PM
 
Location: South Fla
1,044 posts, read 1,954,071 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mike0421 View Post
I would have said before the RNC, the %s would be even higher than that. But it's like a switch was thrown here. I can't believe adding Palin to the ticket would create such energy here, but it seems to.

I've voted Republican every prior election, but I can't do so this time, even with all the new enthusiasm. Of course, I'd crawl through a sewer barefoot before I voted for Obama.
I certainly wouldn't want you to do that! (glad you're not voting Republican though)
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