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Thus, the current three-day average would reflect any impact of Monday night's speech by Michelle Obama, and Tuesday night's speech by Hillary Clinton, but would not completely reflect Wednesday night's lineup of speakers, such as John Kerry, former President Bill Clinton, and vice presidential nominee Joe Biden, nor the appearance on stage at the end of the evening by Barack Obama himself. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)
Wow, I just went online and saw it myself and congrats for already having it up. This includes both a drop for McCain and a increase for Obama. Considering the days measured and that the polling for yesterday was prior to the Bill C speech and that it includes only one day (yesterday) of the Hillary speech tomorrow - Sunday will be interesting to see if it stablizes, builds or drops.
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)
And this one is tied. Eh!
I'm sure you're praying like the dickens that he gets a bounce.
That's to be expected during the convention. The polls will go up and down between now and the election. The bottom line is that it's close and either could win. We will know in November.
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)
And this one is tied. Eh!
I'm sure you're praying like the dickens that he gets a bounce.
If one tracking poll has Obama up by 6, and another shows it tied, then the reality is somewhere in the middle: it's really more of a 2-3 point Obama lead at this point.
If one tracking poll has Obama up by 6, and another shows it tied, then the reality is somewhere in the middle: it's really more of a 2-3 point Obama lead at this point.
You can never go wrong with the RCP average.
I'll buy that and if this holds true the Toga Party will go down as an abortion.
About friggin time. I was starting to worry there for a minute.
Of course, McCAin will get a bump after announcing his VP and during his convention as well so the numbers are pointless at this point.
Wait until the debates, then the polls will start to look interesting.
I posted the analysis from Rasmussen in another thread and there is no need to worry. Remember the daily poll is a three day running average. The question is always is there a trend from day 2-3 and the direction of that thread. He went from 2 down to 1 up in consecutive reports so that was a clue about upward pressure. I will post again for you the explaination that is contained within todays Rasmussen. A rep from Rasmussen was on Fox today saying the same thing.
Tracking poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today’s update is the first to reflect the convention period--just over two-thirds of the interviews were completed after Michelle Obama’s speech on Monday night. Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.
thus todays Rasmussen reflected some of the first night but none of Hillary and Bill. Stay tuned.
Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)
And this one is tied. Eh!
I'm sure you're praying like the dickens that he gets a bounce.
Quote:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows hints of a modest convention bounce building for Barack Obama
It will come.
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