Quote:
Originally Posted by citidata18
When Michael Moore predicted he would win in 2016, everyone thought he was crazy.
David Wasserman was on Smerconish this morning and has an even more dire prediction. Basically, Trump loses MI and PA and the popular vote by 5 million, but wins Wisconsin and the electoral college again.
|
I understand this argument, its based on the midterms
In Michigan and Pennsylvania, they over corrected so far its hard to see trump winning in either.
in Michigan, the lowest margin for a State wide Dem win(no losses) was 7%
In Pennsylvania(no losses), it was 11%
In Wisconsin, Dems won every state wide race as well, but the Margins other than the Senate race was between 5 and 1 point.
thats between 150,000 and 30,000 votes.
Wisconsin seems like the place that leans back to the Dems , but isnt out of reach for Trump.
That being said, those were all Republican held seats(except 1) a year ago. That still says a lot.
Neither of the men in the post have much more information than you, its an informed guess at best.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
to watch and it's a pretty likely scenario except I think Trump likely will win Penn again and almost certainly Michigan again.
