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Old 01-02-2014, 02:20 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 9,001,876 times
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Quote:
HONOLULU — Daniel K. Inouye, the most revered and powerful figure in Hawaii political history, had a deathbed wish: that Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D) would appoint his protegee, Rep. Colleen Hanabusa, to replace him in the Senate. But Abercrombie upended this island state’s political order by tapping the younger Brian Schatz, then the lieutenant governor.

Now, a year after Inouye’s death, the former senator’s ghost lingers large over a bitter feud that is dividing Democrats along ethnic and generational lines here in President Obama’s birthplace. With the outspoken support of Inouye’s widow, Hanabusa is giving up her House seat to challenge Schatz in the 2014 primary.
Link: Hawaii Senate primary is dividing Democrats along ethnic and generational lines - The Washington Post

Hopefully whoever emerges from this nasty campaign loses to Charles Djou, the Republican candidate. It could happen because of Obamacare!

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Old 01-02-2014, 02:55 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,264 posts, read 22,582,716 times
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It's not likely the Republican will win. Hawaii has been Democratic for a long time.

But i don't disagree with you on the primary division… Hawaii is losing more population than immigration and birth rates can equalize, and everything that is costing more here in the States costs even more there. Lotsa problems in paradise.
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Old 01-02-2014, 03:11 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 9,001,876 times
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Hawaii has recently elected Republicans in state-wide races. Linda Lingle won two terms as governor. It is not impossible. Charles Djou is exactly the type of candidate who can win in Hawaii, too.
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Old 01-02-2014, 03:21 PM
 
11,983 posts, read 5,342,333 times
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Who was the last Republican Senator from Hawaii? The only one I can remember is Hiram Fong and that was in the mid-1960's.

I answered my own question. The only Republican Senator from Hawaii was Chinese-American Hiram Fong who served from statehood in 1959 to 1977. I had no idea he served that long.

If Schatz beats Hanabusa in the primary, it might help Djou in the general election. There hasn't been a non-Asian American Senator from Hawaii for over 50 years. Still, they elected Laura Lingle and Neil Abercrombie Governor so they don't always vote along ethnic lines.

How conservative is Djou? Hawaii's an awfully blue state for a very conservative Republican to survive.

Last edited by Bureaucat; 01-02-2014 at 03:30 PM..
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Old 01-02-2014, 08:39 PM
 
1,825 posts, read 1,424,823 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Link: Hawaii Senate primary is dividing Democrats along ethnic and generational lines - The Washington Post

Hopefully whoever emerges from this nasty campaign loses to Charles Djou, the Republican candidate. It could happen because of Obamacare!

A Republican would have a much, much better shot at winning a California senate seat then a Hawaii one. Put simply it couldn't happen.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Hawaii has recently elected Republicans in state-wide races. Linda Lingle won two terms as governor. It is not impossible. Charles Djou is exactly the type of candidate who can win in Hawaii, too.
And what happened to Lingle in her race against Hirono...Oh yeah she lost by a 25% margin. Governor and Senate are unique offices and to paraphrase a friend, the folks will trust someone from the other party a lot more in (the state capital) then in Washington. People might take you more seriously if you don't jump the shark with your predictions.
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Old 01-02-2014, 10:35 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 9,001,876 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Egbert View Post
A Republican would have a much, much better shot at winning a California senate seat then a Hawaii one. Put simply it couldn't happen.



And what happened to Lingle in her race against Hirono...Oh yeah she lost by a 25% margin. Governor and Senate are unique offices and to paraphrase a friend, the folks will trust someone from the other party a lot more in (the state capital) then in Washington. People might take you more seriously if you don't jump the shark with your predictions.
I predicted a 57 seat GOP house pickup in 2010, so my predictions aren't so bad. People might take you more seriously if you weren't a DNC shill.
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Old 01-02-2014, 11:00 PM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,853,835 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
I predicted a 57 seat GOP house pickup in 2010, so my predictions aren't so bad. People might take you more seriously if you weren't a DNC shill.
no you didnt. all ive seen you do is back loser after loser on this forum. i know you are GOP, but you dont even pretend to show some logical realistic analysis in your GOP pick after GOP pick.


im center-left and have gone on record saying i believe the gop will retain the house and has a 50/50 shot at taking the senate. you cant make a prediction that goes against your party, which is why your predictions are incorrect most of the time.
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Old 01-03-2014, 06:58 AM
 
Location: Londonderry, NH
41,458 posts, read 60,037,264 times
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I think it would be neat if a Hawaiian with an unpronounceable name ran and won as a Democratic candidate.
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Old 01-03-2014, 12:08 PM
 
1,825 posts, read 1,424,823 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
I predicted a 57 seat GOP house pickup in 2010, so my predictions aren't so bad. People might take you more seriously if you weren't a DNC shill.
When you make a prediction that is patently absurd like the GOP will win in Hawaii. No one will take you seriously. I am also not a DNC shill I am a lawyer.
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Old 01-04-2014, 05:32 PM
 
4,654 posts, read 3,458,677 times
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I can make a guaranteed prediction for Hawaii:


The winner will have lots of vowels in their last name
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