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Wow. Contrary to popular belief that Arizona is a lock for Romney to win primary-wise, he may be in serious trouble over there in addition to Michigan. In just two-and-a-half weeks, Santorum is surging hard, increasing his lead by over 300%, from 10% to now 31%. Romney is struggling to hold onto the lead with 38%. American Research Group
Wow. Contrary to popular belief that Arizona is a lock for Romney to win primary-wise, he may be in serious trouble over there in addition to Michigan. In just two-and-a-half weeks, Santorum is surging hard, increasing his lead by over 300%, from 10% to now 31%. Romney is struggling to hold onto the lead with 38%. American Research Group
Arizona is part of Greater Deseret and the Mormon church has great influence in that part of the country. Romney should easily carry Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico and Utah. If he fails to carry those he is in big trouble.
Arizona is part of Greater Deseret and the Mormon church has great influence in that part of the country. Romney should easily carry Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico and Utah. If he fails to carry those he is in big trouble.
People overstate Mormon influence outside of Utah and Idaho. LDS is only about 4% of the population in Arizona. That is compared with a 25% Catholic population and a 23% evangelical protestant population. Yes Arizona was part of the historical Greater Deseret, but Pennsylvania at one point was a Quaker colony, things have changed over time.
People overstate Mormon influence outside of Utah and Idaho. LDS is only about 4% of the population in Arizona. That is compared with a 25% Catholic population and a 23% evangelical protestant population. Yes Arizona was part of the historical Greater Deseret, but Pennsylvania at one point was a Quaker colony, things have changed over time.
I always thought LDS was about 23% in Arizona as they are here.
I always thought LDS was about 23% in Arizona as they are here.
According to Wkipedia (based off Pew Forum on Religious and Public Life) its 4% in Arizona and 11% in Nevada, though likely a bit higher among the GOP electorate.
People overstate Mormon influence outside of Utah and Idaho. LDS is only about 4% of the population in Arizona. That is compared with a 25% Catholic population and a 23% evangelical protestant population. Yes Arizona was part of the historical Greater Deseret, but Pennsylvania at one point was a Quaker colony, things have changed over time.
It's not the population that counts. It's the political influence. Mormons have been a minority in Arizona for a long time, but they wield a very large monetary and political influence in the party.
If one looks at the faith of the past Governors and other high party officials, you'll see this.
According to Wkipedia (based off Pew Forum on Religious and Public Life) its 4% in Arizona and 11% in Nevada, though likely a bit higher among the GOP electorate.
LDS made up 26% of the Nevada caucus this year and 11% of the Arizona primary in 2008.
There might be only 4% LDS in Arizona but that 4% are almost all Republicans and they tend to have very high voter turnout. They also put a lot of money into the state and local politics so there is some influence.
However, there is a really big Tea Party influence in Arizona also and even though Romney has been carrying more of the Tea Party vote than people want to admit, I would imagine a lot of those folks will go for Santorum.
I think Mormons in AZ are more influential on a local scale, as they tend to be heavily clumped in certain areas like Mesa/Chandler.
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