[WouldLoveTo]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

NWS now saying some sleet late tonight into tomorrow morning even all the way down to NYC.....

By the way, I had no idea, was this visible from CT/NY? And if so was it clear enough out?

https://www.newsweek.com/northern-li...canada-1790056

Oh wow I wish I'd seen that! I saw them once in New Hampshire, pictures do not do them justice!

It was supposed to rain here at 9am but nothing that I saw.

[Cambium]

Winter on the map today.. 992mb Low over Michigan. Rain for CT


heavy snow dropped a quick 2-5" in northern Michigan.
Seeing 8-12" reports in Illinois, Wisconsin, and Michigan


North Adams, MA at 650' reporting snow now

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Speaking of "traces" of snow... HAIL DOES NOT count as snow confirmed by NWS.. They corrected their original tweet. lolol

Good, it was very controversial when they did because it produced things like "traces of snow" in the summer!

And thanks for the info on NC, I figured it wasn't unprecedented or only mostly happening in the 21st century.

[Cambium]

Raining and 30s today. Haha. Didn't we have enough of that in January??


Winds are strong too and this is what it feels like March 25th


Nothing extreme, just so annoying.

[Cambium]

Snow Tuesday night?

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Snow Tuesday night?

So I see it's back.....

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

So I see it's back.....

Monday night, not Tuesday night.


March being March....again

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
648 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Followed GFS/ECMWF blend for low pressure approaching from the
west for Monday, with NAM looking too slow to bring shortwave
energy toward the area in fast zonal flow aloft. Rain chances
begin to increase W of NYC during mid to late morning, with
widespread light to occasionally moderate rain for the
afternoon/evening, tapering off late at night.

High temps on Mon will be held to 45-50 well NW of NYC where
clouds/rain arrive earlier, with lower 50s elsewhere. As colder
air advects in on a brisk N flow Mon night, precip could mix
with or change to snow briefly before ending, with some minor
accumulation possible in the higher elevations well NW of NYC.
Low temps in the 30s areawide Mon night.

Models all over the place because...…….. bolded and underlined.
NAM brings more snow to interior

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
402 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

* Rain changing over to snow across the interior late Mon into early

Confidence in this particular period is lower than would like
especially given we are talking the Day 2.5-3 window. There has been
considerable uncertainty in deterministic and ensemble guidance over
the past several days. This is essentially due to guidance having
trouble handling convective activity over the Southeastern US and OH
Valley and its interaction with the troughs. This impacts the timing
and intensity of the system as it moves through.

At this point the 00Z 12km NAM is a bit of an outlier being the
slowest with much more QPF and accumulating snow potential across
our interior. Given the NAM 3km shows a more progressive feel like
the GFS/ECMWF/GEM and explicitly resolves convection am thinking
this is the main reason for the difference. Still will want to keep
a close eye on how things evolve as there has been little run-to-run
and model to model consistency.

Did opt to bump up QPF and snowfall
amounts a bit given the shift in guidance. We`ve now got roughly 60-
100 percent probabilities of 24 hr QPF AOA 0.1" per the GEFS/GEPS
and EPS, which is a big jump from the previous. Due to this have
bumped precip chances up to likely Mon night before gradually
tapering chances off into early Tue. The corresponding 24 hr snow
AOA 1" with a 10:1 SLR is roughly 10-70 percent heading into Tue AM.
Looks like best chances are across the higher terrain at this point,
but will be dependent on the precip timing/intensity. Stay tuned as
hopefully models will come into better agreement later today or
tonight.

Expect rain to change over to snow, but even mass fields are all
over the place at this point. Have stuck toward the GFS/ECMWF/GEM
consensus at this point, but there would be more accumulating snow
if the heavier precip comes in later. Lows in the 30s across the
region Mon night heading into Tue. Should see any lingering snow
change back over to rain on Tue as precip is gradually winding down.
High temps around seasonable with readings in the 40s to low 50s.

[Cambium]

Wanna hear something crazy??


May is 5 weeks away


And we get into the 80s in May.

[WouldLoveTo]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Wanna hear something crazy??


May is 5 weeks away


And we get into the 80s in May.

Then we definitely won't have snowpack

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Monday night, not Tuesday night.


March being March....again



Models all over the place because...…….. bolded and underlined.
NAM brings more snow to interior

Yeah I see NWS now has everything on Monday......