Atlantic - Lee forms September 5, 2023 (days, storm, Canada, USA)

[Cambium]

Almost there.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2023

...LEE CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...
...LIKELY TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MAJOR
HURRICANE BY SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 45.5W
ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

[Cambium]

Nothing but fuel ahead (80°+ water temps), except closer to mainland


https://twitter.com/pattrn/status/16...VKKTlzIcw&s=19

[NJmmadude]

I'm here in NJ looking at those models and my blood runs cold looking at the projections. Not sure why, but this one has given me a bad feeling from the beginning (since it was 95L).

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by NJmmadude

I'm here in NJ looking at those models and my blood runs cold looking at the projections. Not sure why, but this one has given me a bad feeling from the beginning (since it was 95L).

All those 15N Latitude paths get me watching. Its usually those that are a threat to east coast

[NJmmadude]

Cambium, how did you create the above gifs? I couldn't get any models beyond 120 hour projections.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by NJmmadude

Cambium, how did you create the above gifs? I couldn't get any models beyond 120 hour projections.

Click on "Forecast GIF" and choose hours. GFS is the only one that goes past 240hrs. Latest GFS is not complete yet, only up to 178

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...3090612&fh=162

[Cambium]

Speaking of latest GFS... Look at Wednesday morning time frame. New update has Lee much south more so its slower. The 947mb is the latest frame. This could have a different end result based on timing of the trough/ front. We'll see



By Thursday 1pm current update has it at Latitude 30.45N previous run was 32.47N.

Friday 1am latest GFS has Lee at 60.70°W while previous run had it at 67.64°W. MUCH CLOSER to coast but starts to make its north turn at that point.

[NJmmadude]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Click on "Forecast GIF" and choose hours. GFS is the only one that goes past 240hrs. Latest GFS is not complete yet, only up to 178

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...3090612&fh=162

Thank you!

[floridarebel]

It'll recurve or brush New England perhaps but all hype so far. Definitely won't hit FL. Going north of the Herbert box.

[Cambium]

Wow the path looks similar up until Latitude 25N when it starts turning north. I think


https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexp...urricane-path/