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Oh. I don't know, 10 years or so sounds pretty optimistic. Y'all really went nuts there for a while.
A median Florida buyer could afford $115k in 2001, $250k in 2005, and now $155k in 2009. If we assume that $155k is a bottom, and 2001-2009 represents "natural" 5% annual appreciation for a desirable place like FL, then a 5% annual increase from here on out would bring you back to $250k in 2019. That's obviously just a guesstimate.
This area had a real estate bubble in the late '80's/early '90's that popped about 1991. It was about 2000-01 before there was much upward movement (other than the 2-3%) then the skyrocketing values hit.
What about Philadelphia? The city has had a declining population since the 50s. The growth of the city has been pretty slow in general, so in some ways didn't really boom like most other cities.
This area had a real estate bubble in the late '80's/early '90's that popped about 1991. It was about 2000-01 before there was much upward movement (other than the 2-3%) then the skyrocketing values hit.
That's a good example of how long it takes to recover from a bubble. Take Dallas, for example. According to FHFA stats, they had a bubble which peaked in 1986. Adjusted for inflation, prices still haven't returned to the highs from that bubble 23 years later - right now they're still about 25% below the real values from the peak of that bubble nearly a generation ago.
What about Philadelphia? The city has had a declining population since the 50s. The growth of the city has been pretty slow in general, so in some ways didn't really boom like most other cities.
It had high single digit and low double-digit price gains through much of the bubble years. I wouldn't put this in the "it's different here" pile. More like the "not as bad as the worst areas and late to the party" group instead.
It's so disappointing! I just want to at least see things level off, not keep declining. I want to be optomistic and think it's the foreclosures and short sales that are driving prices down. I hope those get sold and then things get back on track. I can only hope for the best!
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