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So basically, no-one has seen any actual vote totals and all of these supposed "leads" are based on the color of someone's undershorts? Got it. I'll wait for the actual totals. We've got four years; what's the rush?
This is solely based on the party affiliation of the voter, assuming that everyone votes the party line. I have not seen any consistent polling data for NPAs (aka, independents), but in 2016 independents leaned D by less than 1.6%.
I'm not going to make any predictions as to who will win or lose today. I dont have a crystal ball and the fat lady ain't sang yet.
But I will say that if any side in this gets violent they will be more than leaning blue. Win lose or draw. Trump supporters may be vocal and brash. But violence and setting things on fire has been the sole purview of the left since 2016.
They have caused a LOT of major damage and injury. And it will be them that continues to do so. That is the only prediction I will make. And it's a safe bet.
there are several dead people who would disagree with your assertions
Don’t shoot the messenger, just reporting numbers: 3:30pm EST so far has Florida around R +1.6 by party id of returned ballots and votes (only has M-D up to 2pm, so it’s a little lower for R but will just go with what we have):
Trump haters are going to have a fit tonight or as soon as it’s called. I enjoyed the reactions from the last election. And the media in shock. Highly entertaining.
I want to Democrats "eat crow" when they LOSE tonight!
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020
Ditto for Democrat turnout in Florida.
Ditto for no party affiliated voters in Florida and independents in Florida
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020
One thing that does seem clear in the Election Day numbers is that the GOP vote came out early but the vote is becoming less Republican (and more indie) over the course of the day.
Ditto for non party affiliated voters in Florida and independents in Florida
Broward is at D +15 for in person E-Day vote at the 3-4pm interval, and growing as the day goes. Not seeing the 5-7pm R surge yet. Don’t shoot the messenger.
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