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Old 11-03-2020, 02:23 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
4,960 posts, read 2,241,281 times
Reputation: 5839

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Bear View Post
So basically, no-one has seen any actual vote totals and all of these supposed "leads" are based on the color of someone's undershorts? Got it. I'll wait for the actual totals. We've got four years; what's the rush?
This is solely based on the party affiliation of the voter, assuming that everyone votes the party line. I have not seen any consistent polling data for NPAs (aka, independents), but in 2016 independents leaned D by less than 1.6%.

 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,227,947 times
Reputation: 38267
Quote:
Originally Posted by NVplumber View Post
I'm not going to make any predictions as to who will win or lose today. I dont have a crystal ball and the fat lady ain't sang yet.

But I will say that if any side in this gets violent they will be more than leaning blue. Win lose or draw. Trump supporters may be vocal and brash. But violence and setting things on fire has been the sole purview of the left since 2016.

They have caused a LOT of major damage and injury. And it will be them that continues to do so. That is the only prediction I will make. And it's a safe bet.
there are several dead people who would disagree with your assertions
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,731,632 times
Reputation: 3387
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
This is a good sign for Biden in Florida.
It is a good sign for Biden....and he may not carry Florida.....we will get a better read once the actual vote comes in.
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:28 PM
 
3,306 posts, read 1,348,613 times
Reputation: 2730
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnBoy64 View Post
It is a good sign for Biden....and he may not carry Florida.....we will get a better read once the actual vote comes in.
We have got to get that strong push to the finish line. 5-6 pm crowd coming up. Lets power 10 this all the way across the end.
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:35 PM
 
14,798 posts, read 17,703,551 times
Reputation: 9251
Quote:
Originally Posted by hellopity View Post
Don’t shoot the messenger, just reporting numbers: 3:30pm EST so far has Florida around R +1.6 by party id of returned ballots and votes (only has M-D up to 2pm, so it’s a little lower for R but will just go with what we have):

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/sta...482703365?s=21

The E-Day voter turn out is a lot less R than previously thought, NPAs much higher than expected.
I think you have the facts wrong. In 2016, Republicans had a smaller turnout advantage (0.6%) than they do right now.
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:37 PM
 
16,956 posts, read 16,765,643 times
Reputation: 10408
Quote:
Originally Posted by Leona Valley View Post
Trump haters are going to have a fit tonight or as soon as it’s called. I enjoyed the reactions from the last election. And the media in shock. Highly entertaining.
I want to Democrats "eat crow" when they LOSE tonight!
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:45 PM
 
622 posts, read 410,622 times
Reputation: 743
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:48 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,311,555 times
Reputation: 4809
Quote:
Originally Posted by uhuru View Post
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020

Ditto for Democrat turnout in Florida.

Ditto for no party affiliated voters in Florida and independents in Florida
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:49 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,731,632 times
Reputation: 3387
Quote:
Originally Posted by uhuru View Post
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Early turnout reports indicate #Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation % of historic proportions
12:06 PM · Nov 3, 2020
That was this morning

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/st...16735451758597

Quote:
One thing that does seem clear in the Election Day numbers is that the GOP vote came out early but the vote is becoming less Republican (and more indie) over the course of the day.
 
Old 11-03-2020, 02:51 PM
 
3,306 posts, read 1,348,613 times
Reputation: 2730
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
Ditto for Democratic turnout in Florida.

Ditto for non party affiliated voters in Florida and independents in Florida
Broward is at D +15 for in person E-Day vote at the 3-4pm interval, and growing as the day goes. Not seeing the 5-7pm R surge yet. Don’t shoot the messenger.
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