Trump storms back from large EV deficit, now leads in Florida (federal, Democrats)
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I just wonder how many dem crossover votes trump has gotten?
I'll estimate 35,000...conservatively.
There are 500,000 registered #walkaway Dems, & FLA has 7%of USA population, 7% of 500,000 #walkaway is 35,000
Not every Dem who is leaving the Dem party this election, registered on #walkaway, which is why I say conservatively. I dont think a guess ofo 50,000 would be out of line.
Serious question... The south Florida Cuban & Venezuelan immigrants who've become naturalized, are they generally registered as Democrats or Republicans? Because I know who they're voting for, but I don't know what party they typically register with, if any.
Serious question... The south Florida Cuban & Venezuelan immigrants who've become naturalized, are they generally registered as Democrats or Republicans? Because I know who they're voting for, but I don't know what party they typically register with, if any.
Id add the peurto Rican folks who have moved there recently as well. Bottom line is still the votes, but im curious how many folks register as Republican, but vote for Biden.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
GOP +1.8% on turnout by party registration so far in Florida. Will probably get up to +2.0% by the end of the night though the pace of GOP gains has really slowed down.
@NateSilver538
Earlier I estimated that GOP +3.5% was roughly the breakeven point (i.e. Trump favored if above that number, otherwise Biden) based on what most polls show is an edge for Biden among independents, but that's a fairly rough estimate.
Too bad you dont have any real data to back that up.....GOP turnout where they needed it is anemic
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