Recent history of general election closing polls (Reagan, Clinton, Obama)

[lieqiang]

Final average of national polls three days out

2020: Biden+8.6
2016: Clinton+3.9
2012: Obama+0.3
2008: Obama+6.7
2004: Bush+2.3
2000: Bush+3.6
1996: Clinton+13.8
1992: Clinton+7.6
1988: Bush+10.1
1984: Reagan+17.7
1980: Reagan+2.2
1976: Carter+0.03

There might be a little movement over the next two days but not much.

[Retroit]

Ah yes, back when conservatives had landline phones and actually took part and trusted pollsters.

[vkhmini]

Originally Posted by Retroit

Ah yes, back when conservatives had landline phones and actually took part and trusted pollsters.

Even though I rarely pick up the phone unless I recognize the caller, I did get hit with a few polls this year. Hung up on them.

[lieqiang]

Originally Posted by Retroit

Ah yes, back when conservatives had landline phones and actually took part and trusted pollsters.

That isn't how polls work, at least not by the bigger well established polling firms.