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Old 10-10-2018, 04:54 AM
 
Location: Garbage, NC
3,125 posts, read 3,021,876 times
Reputation: 8246

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I am absolutely terrified for the people on the Florida Gulf Coast. This is a catastrophic storm. The only positive is that it's moving fairly quickly and isn't expected to linger.
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Old 10-10-2018, 04:59 AM
 
Location: Upstate SC
792 posts, read 496,574 times
Reputation: 1087
They wrote a freaking book for the near term discussion, but this was at the end:
Quote:
That's pretty long, but just to recap the two bigger take-home
points: flash flooding potential remains #1 concern and is actually
increasing with latest guidance, and have issued gsp's first-ever
tropical wind products (in collaboration with surrounding offices
and nhc).
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Old 10-10-2018, 05:04 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Forecast Max wind gusts from NWS from now to Friday 7pm

Luckily (If that's an ok word to use) is that the strongest winds are very tight to the center. Only 45 miles is not a lot and notice from this map outside that little narrow area it's no big deal.


Good luck to those in the path of the center though.

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Old 10-10-2018, 05:06 AM
 
7,258 posts, read 4,627,271 times
Reputation: 2105
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Bruce View Post
They wrote a freaking book for the near term discussion, but this was at the end:
And here's GSP's inland Tropical Storm Warnings (winds 39mph or higher) in red for southern Upstate SC counties, SC i85 corridor (my area!) still looks to mainly be rain/flood threat. Really need winds of around 39mph or higher for more widespread scattered downed trees and power lines.
Atlantic - Michael forms October 7, 2018-img_4247.png
Atlantic - Michael forms October 7, 2018-img_4248.png

Last edited by Psychoma; 10-10-2018 at 05:16 AM..
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Old 10-10-2018, 05:07 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Case in point... Even a buoy near the center is getting only 76mph gusts. You have to be really close to the center(Eye) to experience the absolute worst of things.


https://twitter.com/grant_gilmore/st...810816/photo/1


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Old 10-10-2018, 05:14 AM
 
30,431 posts, read 21,234,977 times
Reputation: 11978
Heavy rain just offshore from me and nothing for me just like i said days ago. Small core system with the core winds close to the center.
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Old 10-10-2018, 05:15 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Future Radar Loop next 60hrs: Rain and Storm gets to Georgia this afternoon/evening and will clear out by tomorrow morning.


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...018101006&fh=6


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Old 10-10-2018, 05:19 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lkmax View Post
I am absolutely terrified for the people on the Florida Gulf Coast. This is a catastrophic storm. The only positive is that it's moving fairly quickly and isn't expected to linger.
There is a front coming through but good point.


Here are the projected temps Friday morning per NAM. Looks chilly for the south in the 40s and 50s. I hope they have generators. Should warm up into the 60s and 70s though. 80s on Sunday. Then next week a stronger front comes through again.


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Old 10-10-2018, 05:22 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Very healthy Cyclone. Interesting 3hr comparison


https://twitter.com/wxmvpete/status/1049983182244864000
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Old 10-10-2018, 05:24 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Video from Panama City Beach about 6:30am EDT. Coming in fast now. Isn't she in the path? Buncker down.


https://twitter.com/alexfinnieWPLG/s...68498850582528
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