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Old 08-20-2007, 10:13 PM
 
Location: San Antonio
4,468 posts, read 10,623,512 times
Reputation: 4245

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I'm scared to predict....last time I did (2005), my prediction was right on....said New Orleans would get slammed as it was way past due for a hit....
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Old 08-20-2007, 10:17 PM
 
Location: San Antonio
4,468 posts, read 10,623,512 times
Reputation: 4245
In the first link - sea pressure - what is it we're seeing? Is the first cluster Dean? And the next cluster the storms they aren't sure about this evening?
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Old 08-21-2007, 05:30 AM
 
Location: Vero Beach
250 posts, read 1,470,536 times
Reputation: 149
Tropical Weather Discussion (http://www.crownweather.com/tropdisc.html - broken link)
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Old 08-21-2007, 11:25 AM
 
78,531 posts, read 60,718,007 times
Reputation: 49837
Quote:
Originally Posted by tallrick View Post
I am sticking by my prediction, Miami escapes unharmed this year.
That's a pretty safe bet. Figure every 10 years or so Miami will get hit by something of reasonable strength....which means it could go 15-20 years with not much and then get hit two years in a row etc. etc.

Look at New Orleans...that whole town was a WHEN not an IF and it didn't even take a "hard" hit.
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Old 08-22-2007, 05:18 PM
 
Location: San Antonio
4,468 posts, read 10,623,512 times
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Um, for what it's worth, two cities that are WAY past due for a hit from a big storm are Tampa and Long Island. They also rank in the top 10 most vulnerable cities. Interesting reading:

weather.com - Vulnerable Cities: Index (broken link)
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Old 09-06-2007, 03:20 PM
 
27 posts, read 122,200 times
Reputation: 16
Hurricanes...unpredictable!! We didn't all die last week....!! Geeze
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Old 09-07-2007, 03:00 AM
 
Location: NOVA
198 posts, read 960,210 times
Reputation: 101
Computer models are tools not crystal balls. If the CMC model was correct, we would of been hit my a dozen storms already.

There is a reason why the CMC is called the "Crazy Uncle" in weather circles.......
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Old 09-07-2007, 07:47 AM
 
Location: Heartland Florida
9,324 posts, read 26,771,735 times
Reputation: 5039
I am getting bored by all this hot, dry, sunny weather.
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