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Old 07-31-2015, 01:31 PM
 
Location: Taipei
7,778 posts, read 10,162,721 times
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Hmm, we had this exact topic a few weeks ago. But your numbers are much more realistic than that OP.

https://www.city-data.com/forum/gener...-2050-a-2.html

And as I said in that thread:

Quote:
Originally Posted by projectmaximus View Post
I don't know enough about other cities' situations, but I'll guess that Jax will be around 1.3-1.4 million assuming no change in city limits. And I'll put the metro at 2.4-2.6 million.
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Old 07-31-2015, 01:36 PM
 
Location: Indiana
69 posts, read 118,724 times
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When I was creating this list I forgot Jacksonville. No idea how it slipped my mind but you're right that it should be on here. I don't necessarily think it will have up to 1.3 million but I think it will would be on the list for sure
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Old 07-31-2015, 01:39 PM
 
Location: Indiana
69 posts, read 118,724 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by powcity View Post
My predictions for largest U.S. city propers in the year 2050. Tell me if you think its a good list of predictions or not

1. New York City - 10,000,000
2. Los Angeles - 4,750,000
3. Houston - 4,250,000
4. Chicago - 2,750,000
5. Phoenix - 2,000,000
6. Dallas - 1,900,000
7. Philadelphia - 1,750,000
8. San Antonio - 1,800,000
9. San Diego - 1,500,000
10. Austin - 1,300,000
11. Charlotte - 1,200,000
12. Indianapolis - 1,090,000
13. Columbus - 1,075,000
14. San Jose - 1,050,000
15. San Francisco - 975,000
My edits now:
Phoenix at ~ 1,750,000 though below Philly
14. Jacksonville - 10,050,000
15. San Jose - 10,025,000
San Francisco doesn't make the list but is still at 975,000. I think San Fran is so dense already and can't go anywhere beyond one million in population.
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:06 PM
 
Location: West Coast of Europe
25,947 posts, read 24,745,361 times
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They could build a number of tall residential towers like they do in any big Brazilian city, you can fit an entire town into a single tower And by 2050 I am sure 200-floor towers are common.
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:18 PM
 
Location: Houston
151 posts, read 169,960 times
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Ft. Worth will most likely have over a million by that time. The predictions for Austin, San Jose and Charlotte are conservative.
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:23 PM
 
Location: Indiana
69 posts, read 118,724 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dynamo fan View Post
Ft. Worth will most likely have over a million by that time. The predictions for Austin, San Jose and Charlotte are conservative.
I don't think Fort Worth has enough growth to have a million in the next 35 years. I think San Jose may be under what it probably will be but I don't think it will exceed 1,100,000 by far ever. Austin & Charlotte according to this have pretty signifiant growth for 35 years.
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:37 PM
 
Location: Houston
151 posts, read 169,960 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by powcity View Post
I don't think Fort Worth has enough growth to have a million in the next 35 years. I think San Jose may be under what it probably will be but I don't think it will exceed 1,100,000 by far ever. Austin & Charlotte according to this have pretty signifiant growth for 35 years.
I think Charlotte will have aggressive growth for years to come so I think 1.2 mil is a little conservative. Austin is at 915,000 according to the 2014 census estimate and actually shows signs of speeding up. What will inhibit the city in the future is the environmentalists not wanting to fund major infrastructure.

I disagree with Ft. Worth though. The 2014 estimate has it at 812,000. So for the 24 years since 1990 it has added around 365,000 residents. I think 1 million is definitely realistic for Ft. Worth. The biggest problem it faces is that it is not the only game in town. Many major Texas cities are growing at large rates and there is fierce competition for businesses and money. However, it has not stopped any of the cities yet.

Last edited by dynamo fan; 07-31-2015 at 02:45 PM.. Reason: Spelling
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:43 PM
 
Location: Houston
151 posts, read 169,960 times
Reputation: 146
I should add that with a booming Texas economy and still relatively low cost of living, the major Texas cities (Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, Ft. Worth) and some smaller ones (Plano, Arlington) will continue to increase for awhile longer until things stabilize.

I did not include Corpus or El Paso on there because neither has a booming economy or large growth.
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Old 07-31-2015, 02:46 PM
 
Location: Indiana
69 posts, read 118,724 times
Reputation: 33
Quote:
Originally Posted by dynamo fan View Post
I should add that with a booming Texas economy and still relatively low cost of living, the major Texas cities (Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, Ft. Worth) and some smaller ones (Plano, Arlington) will continue to increase for awhile longer until things stabilize.

I did not include Corpus or El Paso on there because neither has a booming economy or large growth.
I completely agree with you that Texas is booming and multiple cities are growing and I think Austin is just exponentially growing and Dallas is growing too but not as fast and Houston seems to be growing slower but still growing but I don't believe its booming quite as quick as you're saying
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Old 07-31-2015, 03:56 PM
 
Location: South Beach and DT Raleigh
13,966 posts, read 24,165,301 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by powcity View Post
My edits now:
Phoenix at ~ 1,750,000 though below Philly
14. Jacksonville - 10,050,000
15. San Jose - 10,025,000
San Francisco doesn't make the list but is still at 975,000. I think San Fran is so dense already and can't go anywhere beyond one million in population.
You made the same mistake again! Both cities over 10 million?

I think that Jacksonville has much more potential than just over a million simply because its land area is so huge.
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