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Old 05-19-2010, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,472,252 times
Reputation: 1895

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Six were after Obama became president. The races in italics were elections that according to the media were supposed to be referendums on his leadership..

Quote:
LA-6: Don Cazayoux (D) replaces Richard Baker (R), May 2008 (though Cazayoux lost the general election in November)
MS-1: Travis Childers (D) replaces Roger Wicker (R), May 2008
MD-4: Donna Edwards (D) replaces Albert Wynn (D), June 2008
OH-11: Marcia Fudge (D) replaces Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D), November 2008
NY-20: Scott Murphy (D) replaces Kirsten Gillibrand (D), March 2009
IL-5: Mike Quigley (D) replaces Rahm Emanuel (D), April 2009
CA-32: Judy Chu (D) replaces Hilda Solis (D), July 2009
CA-10: John Garamendi (D) replaces Ellen Tauscher (D), November 2009
NY-23: Bill Owens (D) replaces John McHugh (R), November 2009
PA-12: Mark Critz (D) replaces John Murtha (D), May 2010
Reality Check: Democrats Continue House Special-Election Streak « The Harvard Political Review
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Old 05-19-2010, 08:00 AM
 
23,838 posts, read 23,240,230 times
Reputation: 9409
Special elections are placeholders. The real test comes on Election Day. Niether Democrats nor Republicans are out of the woods just because of a special election. Scott Brown still has his work cut out for him. Can he pull it off again? That remains to be seen. But I doubt Democrats will be proclaiming victory in November 2010.
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Old 05-19-2010, 08:06 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,472,252 times
Reputation: 1895
Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
Special elections are placeholders. The real test comes on Election Day. I doubt Democrats will be proclaiming victory in November 2010.

November is the midterms..the party in power almost always loses seats. Victory or defeat will be determined as to whether or not either chamber of Congress changes hands..

Personally I wouldn't mind seeing the Republicans take control of at least the House. Let them have a nice big target on their backs for a change..

Just remember '94...Clinton was then reelected in '96 thanks in part to the public's anger at the new GOP Congress.

Could history be repeating itself?
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Old 05-19-2010, 08:55 AM
 
269 posts, read 297,762 times
Reputation: 146
I can't speak for most of them, but Mark Critz didn't run a liberal, he ran as pretty conservative. He's pro-life, pro-2nd amendment, anti-tax, and he said he opposed the health care bill. To me, if PA-12 is still the setting for the national spotlight in 2010, that would still indicate an anti-liberal position, even if that person is a Democrat. Of course, I'm sure he'll end up towing the party line as much as the other "conservative" Democrats did with the health care bill.
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:11 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,492,921 times
Reputation: 49253
Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
Six were after Obama became president. The races in italics were elections that according to the media were supposed to be referendums on his leadership..

Reality Check: Democrats Continue House Special-Election Streak « The Harvard Political Review
Yes, and almost 1/2 were in 2008 and 7 out of 10 were democrats replacing democrats in democratic districts. If I am not mistaken, a Republican who was strongly behind the Tea Party just cleaned house in Ky or am I just imagining that?
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:15 AM
 
13,186 posts, read 15,046,139 times
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Hawaii will be the first loss but only because the Dem vote will be split in half and only temporarily until the November election. It's a safe Dem seat.
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:15 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,492,921 times
Reputation: 49253
Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
November is the midterms..the party in power almost always loses seats. Victory or defeat will be determined as to whether or not either chamber of Congress changes hands..

Personally I wouldn't mind seeing the Republicans take control of at least the House. Let them have a nice big target on their backs for a change..

Just remember '94...Clinton was then reelected in '96 thanks in part to the public's anger at the new GOP Congress.

Could history be repeating itself?
Gee are we starting to backdown? Isn't your posting (OP) telling us the Obama is still the "man" and now you are saying well, maybe the Republicans will do well in 2010. Clinton did not win because of the GOP congress, in fact that had almost nothing to do with his victory. He won bcause he was the incumbant which is always a plus and he ran against one of the weakest Republicans that even got the nomination..

Nita
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Texas
380 posts, read 645,199 times
Reputation: 228
Reality check for bedwetters: You're going down in 2010 and 2012!

...and liberty prevails!

http://wirednewyork.com/landmarks/liberty/images/liberty.jpg (broken link)
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:22 AM
 
Location: Texas
37,957 posts, read 18,032,661 times
Reputation: 10399
"according to the media were supposed to be referendums on his leadership"

What does that mean?
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Old 05-19-2010, 09:34 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,472,252 times
Reputation: 1895
Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
Gee are we starting to backdown? Isn't your posting (OP) telling us the Obama is still the "man" and now you are saying well, maybe the Republicans will do well in 2010. Clinton did not win because of the GOP congress, in fact that had almost nothing to do with his victory. He won bcause he was the incumbant which is always a plus and he ran against one of the weakest Republicans that even got the nomination..

Nita

Sure Nita..that incumbent stuff worked real well for Bush #1 in '92 didn't it?

Republicans back in '94, much like today, were crowing that Clinton was going to be a one term president. Polls actually backed them up..

So what happened between '94 and '96? A GOP Congress is what happened. Remember when they tried to shut down the government in '95 because of a budget disagreement with the president?

The American public sided with Bill Clinton...much the same will happen if the Republicans take control of Congress this time. You can then resign yourself to a two term President Obama.

Americans take their anger out on the party that they see in power...and they don't care which side it is...I shouldn't have to remind you of that.
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