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Look, despite spin, and unless something unexpected happens, the high probability is that neither democratic candidate will gain the required number of delegates (super or ordinary) for the party's nomination before the convention and that neither will step down.
If this indeed is the case in the event, first, how will such a situation be handled at the convention? Are there historical precedences? Before or after mass television?
Second, while I think that the bulk of potential voters are not too aware of what's going on, if the democratic party is still "split" by convention time and this "split" becomes obvious to the bulk of potential voters, how will it affect the democrats' chances in November?
Will the republicans be successful in taking advantage of this "split"?
Or is it possible that the bulk of potential voters will have forgotten about it between the summer and November?
In any event, my expectation is that the result of the general election will be very tight. I would consider a 52-48 result on the popular vote in favor of either party to be very wide indeed.
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