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Old 11-04-2011, 10:36 AM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,971,653 times
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Quote:
Registered voters nationally and in 12 key swing states are evenly divided in their preferences for president in the 2012 election between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.
Obama, Romney Tied Nationally and in Swing States

There's a good analysis of the poll at hotair:

Quote:
However, the big problem for Obama is not the numbers, but their timing. Every Republican primary contender has a disadvantage in these surveys as Democrats are fairly united on Obama as their nominee, while Republicans are passionately split on theirs. Romney, for instance, has had a consistent cap on support from GOP primary voters of about 25-28%, with plenty of anti-Romney — and yet he manages to muscle into a tie with registered voters. Rick Perry has descended into single digits in some primary polling, and yet he gets within 4 or 5 points of Obama. And while the media tried to paint Cain as a novelty candidate, the Georgia business leader grabs a virtual tie with the leader of the free world.

When Republicans unite around a nominee, Obama will find himself in a deep hole.
Link: Obama, Romney tied nationally in Gallup poll « Hot Air
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Old 11-04-2011, 10:45 AM
 
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they wont unite around romney, only the moderates and disillusioned dems will, as i explained in a prior thread.

nothing about romney is conservative or republican, and hes nobodys first choice outside of the moderates and disillusioned dems who are only a small part of the electorate. the big conservative block wont vote or will go with somebody else.
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Old 11-04-2011, 10:46 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
they wont unite around romney, only the moderates and disillusioned dems will, as i explained in a prior thread.

nothing about romney is conservative or republican, and hes nobodys first choice outside of the moderates and disillusioned dems who are only a small part of the electorate. the big conservative block wont vote or will go with somebody else.
He's not Obama and that's good enough for me and millions more.
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Old 11-04-2011, 10:49 AM
 
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Too Bad the GOP is sticking with Cain,
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Old 11-04-2011, 11:11 AM
 
Location: NJ
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This is the result I anticipate; Romney is a true challenge for BO in swing states. The kool-aid bunch surrounding him on stage at the "Debates" 9and I use that term loosely) is not near as strong in these critical states. Bear in mind, the actual polling dates (as opposed to the published date) were before the Cain scandal was well covered. I'd bet the next polls show BO 5-10 additional points above both HC and R(I)P. with Mr still neck and neck.

This shows Scarborough is right "Crazies can't win". (The Big game of Nov, 2012)
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Old 11-04-2011, 11:14 AM
 
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Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
He's not Obama and that's good enough for me and millions more.
but thats not enough to make a difference in the end.

people will vote for obama.
people will vote for ron paul.
people will vote for herman cain.
small base, but people will vote for santorum.

nobody is going out of there way to vote for mitt romney. his only hope is that these people end up showing up and doing the lesser of 2 evil things. that never works though.

nobody wants romney to win the nomination, nobody. you cant win the presidency with that type of problem.
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Old 11-04-2011, 11:45 AM
 
Location: Gone
25,231 posts, read 16,964,569 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Polls? Everyone has polls, this one looks good, especially want to shut out to the Paulies, Way to Surge all the way up to 8%, right ahead of last place none of the above:
Friday, November 4, 2011

National '12 General Election

Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 46% Gallup poll
10/20/11-10/27/11
1056
National '12 General Election

Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 45% Gallup poll
10/20/11-10/27/11
1056
National '12 General Election

Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Gallup poll
10/20/11-10/27/11
1056
National GOP Primary

Mitt Romney 24% Herman Cain 23% Rick Perry 13% Newt Gingrich 12% Undecided9% Ron Paul 8% None of the above5% Michele Bachmann 4% Jon Huntsman 1% Rick Santorum 2012 Presidential Election Polling Center - POLITICO.com
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Old 11-04-2011, 01:10 PM
 
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Casper, you don't find it a bit troubling that your man is polling at under 50% just a year from election day?
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Old 11-04-2011, 01:18 PM
 
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Also southern Republican states got more electoral college votes, so it will be harder for Obama to win.
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Old 11-04-2011, 01:19 PM
 
Location: NC
9,984 posts, read 10,405,690 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
they wont unite around romney, only the moderates and disillusioned dems will, as i explained in a prior thread.

nothing about romney is conservative or republican, and hes nobodys first choice outside of the moderates and disillusioned dems who are only a small part of the electorate. the big conservative block wont vote or will go with somebody else.
I tend to agree, at least as far as the primaries are concerned. Other then Virginia, Florida and the Rare South Carolina poll. Romney is in trouble. He comes in 3rd in North Carolina, very distant 3rd in Georgia and Lousiana and he has not broken 10% in Texas in any October poll which puts him in 4th there. If consevatives are not motivated to vote for him in the South that could make Southern States costly battle grounds rather then gimmes and that would certainly hurt him.
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